Saturday, August 31, 2013

August 31, 2013 Sports Picks

I had a great day yesterday going 4-1 up about $450.  Here are my picks today:

Phillies -140 $140 to win $100
Braves -210 $420 to win $200
Blue Jays -130 $200 to win $154
Yankees -126 $160 to win $127
Red Sox -1.5 EVEN $150 to win $150
Rangers / Tigers Parlay $130 to win $159
Rays +110 $120 to win $132
 
NCAA:
Cinc / Ok St Parlay $300 to win $144
Alabama -21 $110 to win $100
 
Jonny
 

Friday, August 30, 2013

August 30th Sports Picks

I went 3-2 yesterday for a +190.  Here are my initial picks for today.  I may add some college football.

Pirates -119 $200 to win $168
- I'm going with The Franchise to take care of business against Shelby Miller and the Cards tonight in Pittsburgh.  Liriano is 7.1 with a 1.39 ERA at home and he also have a career ERA of 1.57 against St. Louis.  Pittsburgh has the bats to run up the score against Miller who has struggled against Pittsburgh in his 3 starts (0-3, 4.08 ERA) and on the road (4.04 ERA). 

Marlins +1.5 -195 $200 to win $102.50
- I really wanted to take Miami at +125 straight up because I like Fernandez so much but Atlanta and Teheran could win this game.  I think this will be a low scoring game of something around 3-2 so the under would be tempting as well.  Fernandez has won three straight and has a 2.30 ERA on the season.  I personally would rate Jose as one of the top three pitchers at the present time.

Dodgers -200 $400 to win $200
- LA is at home where they are 40-28 on the season and Ryu has been good (but not great).  For San Diego, Eric Stults started off the season really well but has regressed over his last 7 starts.  Stults has a 4.93 ERA on the road.  Ryu has a 2.12 ERA at home. 

Red Sox / Rangers Parlay $150 to win $161
- I don't think the Rangers will lose tonight against the Twins with Darvish but at -300 I couldn't bet it straight up.  Boston is coming off a tough series against Baltimore.  The good news for them is they have the White Sox coming to town who are 24-42 on the road.

Angels -125 $125 to win $100
- Weaver is pitching and that's the only reason I'm betting the Angels.  He gets to face the Brewers who can hit from time to time but Peralta has been a mess lately.  He is 1-4 over his last six starts.  

Jonny

Thursday, August 29, 2013

August 29th Sports Picks

I had a small loss yesterday.  Here are my picks today:

Tigers -1.5 +105 $200 to win $210
Royals vs. Twins under 8 -105 $210 to win $200
Red Sox -1.5 +135 $160 to win $216
Braves under 8 -115 $230 to win $200

NCAA:
Gophers -13.5 $165 to win $150

Jonny

Wednesday, August 28, 2013

August 28th Sports Picks

I took a small loss yesterday as I went 3-3 for -138.  I feel really good about a lot of games today.  Here are my picks:

Dodgers -1.5 -115 $230 to win $200
- LA lost a tough game yesterday.  The good news for them is Travis Wood is not pitching for the Cubs.  They get to hit against Edwin Jackson who has been getting hit hard lately.  In his last start he gave up 5 earned runs, 10 hits in 6 innings against the light hitting Padres in San Diego.  On the other side, Nolasco has pitched outstanding over his last four starts.  In his last start he only allowed 2 hits and no runs over 8 innings against a very good Red Sox team.  Ricky is also better in day games (2.81 ERA).

Nationals -1.5 -120 $180 to win $150
- I'm a huge fan of Stephen Stasburg who is capable of shutting out any team.  He gets to face the Miami Marlins today.  Washington has been putting up runs so I like the run-line in this game.

Pirates -1.5 +135 $150 to win $202.50
- Pittsburgh is still a very good team and they are home against the Brewers who have struggled this year.  Morton has been very good over his last four starts.  Gorzelanny has struggled over his last two starts giving up 12 earned runs in 8.1 innings.
  
Phillies -1.5 EVEN $140 to win $140
- Cole Hamels is still a premiere pitcher in this league and he has pitched very well over his last 6 starts and he has been pitching deep into games as he has pitched at least 7 innings in all of those starts.  Matsuzaka goes for the Mets and he probably shouldn't be pitching in the MLB.

Cardinals -160 $160 to win $100
- Adam Wainwright has a 2.58 ERA on the season and 2.06 ERA at home.  He's been on his game over his last two starts giving up just 2 runs, 11 hits and 1 walk in 16 innings.  The Reds looked really flat last night and I don't think they have the energy to win this one.  I reduced my bet to just $160 due to the fact that Homer Bailey has the stuff to shut out any team.  However, he hasn't pitched all that well over his last four starts and has a 5.61 career ERA against St. Louis. 

Dbacks -175 $350 to win $200
- I'm a little nervous about this bet because Arizona has screwed me many times this year but I couldn't pass it up.  Wade Miley has pitched well over his last 10 starts only giving up more than 2 runs in 3 of those starts (3,3,4 ER).  San Diego has sort of fallen back to being a really bad team again.  They are throwing Robbie Erlin, and his 7.15 ERA, out there tonight. 

Tigers -170 $340 to win $200
- Great teams don't have losing streaks and don't get swept at home.  Detroit fits into that definition and I am very confident they come back tonight with some urgency and take care of business against the A's.  Fister has been good over his last 8 starts only giving up more than 2 runs twice (3,4).  He has a career ERA of 2.45 against Oakland and is good at home (3.11 ERA).

Red Sox -150 $300 to win $200
- I really like getting the Red Sox at home for only -150.  Baltimore hasn't been playing well of late and John Lackey has had a great season.  He is much better at home with a 2.07 ERA.  Bud Norris hasn't pitched very well especially over his last two starts where he has given up 11 earned runs and 18 hits over 10.1 innings.  He has a 5.25 career ERA against Boston.

Rays -1.5 +120 $130 to win $156
- Tampa has really impressed me this year.  I think this is their best team they have ever had.  Chris Archer is the real deal and he has a 2.93 ERA on the season.  I don't believe the Angels have seen him before and that's bad news for LA.  The Angels have won four straight but they are dealing with injuries and new players, etc.  I really like the Rays to win this game by more than one.

Jonny

Tuesday, August 27, 2013

August 27th Sports Picks

I had another winning day yesterday as I went 3-2 for a gain of $267.  I like a few more games today and here are my picks:

Mets -130 $130 to win $100
- I like the Mets in this one.  NY is home and they have Jonathon Niese pitching who has been very good since May 16th and especially in his last two starts.  Kendrick has really struggled over his last 10 starts with the exception of one or two starts.  Good value here with NY.

Reds -108 $170 to win $157
- Matt Latos has been on fire over his last 7 starts and has been going deep into games.  He has the stuff to shut out any team.  Joe Kelly has been good for the Cardinals but his consistency can be questioned and he'll have to face a tough Reds lineup today.

Reds vs. Cards under 7.5 -105 $180 to win $172

- See above.  Both Latos and Kelly have been pitching well so this should be a lower scoring game.  You should be able to get in on the under 8 now but I locked in at the 7.5 early this morning.

Dodgers -1.5 -145 $290 to win $200

- Kershaw is pitching and he's home which is bad news for the Cubs but good news for people putting money on the Dodgers.  I saw the over/under was at 5.5 last night.  I don't remember seeing that low a number and if I were to do anything it would be the over because the Dodgers will win 5-1.

Tigers / White Sox Parlay $150 to win $187

- I think both teams should win but my confidence level isn't as high.  It just seems like this will hit today.  Detroit and Chicago lost yesterday in games I thought they would win.  Both teams are playing very well have have pitchers who should dominant the opposing teams.  Verlander has been so inconsistent but has pitched a lot of good games recently.

Rangers vs. Mariners under 7 EVEN $100 to win $100

- I like this game to stay under 7 mainly because of the starting pitching with Holland and Iwakuma.  Both guys have been pitching well and have been very stingy in terms of giving up hits and runs.  Its a small bet because my confidence isn't high but I couldn't pass it up.

Braves -150 $300 to win $200

- Alex Wood is pitching for the Braves and he continues to be one of the better pitchers in the league.  Over his last four starts he has given up hits of 2, 2, 5, and 6 while averaging just over 6 innings.  He has only 4 walks and 3 earned runs during that stretch.  

Jonny

Monday, August 26, 2013

August 26th Sports Picks

I finally had a losing day yesterday.  Here are my winning picks for tonight:

Phillies vs. Mets under 7 -115 $230 to win $200
- I'm a big fan of Wheeler and he has looked very sharp over his last three starts.  Cliff Lee hasn't pitched great but he's good enough to shut down the Mets.

Dodgers -1.5 -130 $260 to win $200
- Greinke has been one of the best pitchers in the MLB over his last five starts.  LA is hungry for a win and I think they do that easily tonight against the Cubs.

Padres +125 $100 to win $125
- Tyson Ross has been very good in all his starts this season with the exception of his last start. McCarthy isn't very good and I think the Padres do just enough to beat the Dbacks 4-3.

Tigers -1.5 +120 $200 to win $240
-Sanchez has been outstanding this year (2.45 ERA), at home (1.92 ERA) and especially over his last seven starts.  Griffin has been hittable and hasn't performed very well over his last seven starts. Miggy is on. 

Rangers over 8 -120 $200 to win $167
-  Both pitchers have been giving up a lot of runs and Seattle is no longer a pitcher's park.

Jonny

Sunday, August 25, 2013

August 25th Sports Picks

I had another great day yesterday going 4-1.  Here are my picks today:

Rockies -110 $110 to win $100
- De La Rosa has pitched very well over his last three starts and pitched very well in his last start against Miami on July 24th.  Turner has been good this year but hasn't been as good over the past 30 days.  This could be a low scoring game with the Rockies coming out on top.

Dbacks -150 $300 to win $200
- I really like Corbin and he gets to pitch against Roy Halladay who just isn't good anymore and coming off an injury.

Cardinals -132 $132 to win $100
- The Braves have really struggled of late and the Cardinals are hot again now that Molina is back.  I have Lynn on my fantasy team and need a win from him.  Not that that matters but go Cards!

Yankees Rays under 7.5 -120 $240 to win $200
- Both Nova and Cobb have been very good.  If I were to pick a winner it would be the Rays but I'm more confident in a low scoring game.

Blue Jays -1.5 +115 $140 to win $161
- Buehrle has been very good and Keuchel has been very bad over the last 30 day.  Buehrle threw a 2-hit shutout against Houston on July 25th.

Rangers -155 $310 to win $200
-  Both pitchers are capable but I think Texas bounces back with a win today against the lowly White Sox.  Garza shut down the Sox in Chicago back on July 8.

49ers -150 $300 to win $200
- Football is coming and I will only bet preseason on game #4.  San Fran is much better than the Vikings and I think Adrian doesn't play all that much. 

Jonny

Saturday, August 24, 2013

August 24th Sports Picks

I had another winning day yesterday.  I feel even better about my picks today. 

Marlins -1.5 +105 $140 to win $147
Pirates -125 $200 to win $160
Rays -180 $360 to win $200
Tigers -127 $150 to win $118
Nationals -117 $140 to win $119.60

Jonny

Friday, August 23, 2013

August 23rd Sports Picks

Great day yesterday.  Here are my picks today:

Phillies under 7.5 -120 $15- to win $125
Rockies -142 $142 to win $100
Cardinals -170 $340 to win $200
Mariners -1.5 +120 $100 to win $120
Royals under 7 EVEN $150 to win $150
Tigers -165? $300

Jonny

Thursday, August 22, 2013

August 22nd Sports Picks

I finally had a good day yesterday as I went 4-1 for +550.   I really like my plays for today as well.  Here they are:

Dodgers -1.5 -145 $290 to win $200
- Kershaw has been incredible this year and lately.  He should shut down Miami with no problem. 

Reds -170 $240 to win $141
- Latos has pitched great over his last six starts and hasn't given up more than 2 earned runs in any of those starts.  He has really good numbers against the Dbacks.  Cahill has really struggled over his last three starts and has a 5.60 ERA on the road. 

Nationals -160 $160 to win $100
- Strasburg hasn't been consistent but his ERA is only 2.93 this year and has a 0.75 career ERA against the Cubs (in two starts).  Wood hasn't pitched well all that good over his last four starts and the Nationals have been hitting.

Nationals vs. Cubs under 7 +110 $100 to win $110
- Wind is blowing in and two really good pitchers are going today.  

Cardinals -135 $200 to win $148
- St. Louis is back to playing winning ball now that Molina is back.  The Braves have some injuries so won't be anywhere near full strength.  Joe Kelly has been money over his last six starts.  Maholm is coming off the DL.  Easy one here.  

Royals under 7.5 -110 $110 to win $100
- Shields and Quintana are two really good pitchers.  Shields just shut out the Tigers in Detroit and shut out the White Sox in Chicago on July 26th.  Quintana also pitched in that game on the 26th and only gave up 2 earned runs in 7 innings.  The Royals offense is struggling right now. 

Jonny

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

August 21st Sports Picks

Things have not been going well for me lately.  Baseball can be like that.  All you can do is do the research and put your money in the appropriate team.  I feel very good about my picks today:

Tigers -1.5 -130 $260 to win $200
-Sanchez has been outstanding this year (2.50 ERA) and especially over six starts.  I don't see this trend stopping tonight against the Twins.  Sanchez has a 1.98 ERA at home and a 2.80 career ERA against the Twins.  Correia has not pitched well.  This is an easy one. 

Braves -144 $288 to win $200
- I'm a huge fan of Alex Wood.  He has a 2.61 ERA on the season and has pitched outstanding over his last three starts.  The Mets are actually worse at home and Niese really struggled against Atlanta in his last start against them on 6/20 (8 hits, 3 ER, 3.1 Innings). 

O's -115 $230 to win $200
- I'm going with Baltimore again.  The pitching matchup favors the O's today.  Chen has been solid this year, especially at home (3.15 ERA).  Hellickson has struggled this year, especially over his last four starts.  He has a 5.40 ERA on the road.  Baltimore is going to win at least one game this series and tonight is the night. 

Royals -1.5 +115 $150 to win $172.50
- I lost this bet last night and I'm going back to it today.  I just think the Royals have the better team and the better starting pitcher tonight.  I see them winning tonight 6-3.

Indians -135 $135 to win $100
-  Justin Masterson has put together a very good season and the Angels have some injuries.  Jerome Williams isn't very good and the Indians are hot. 

Jonny

Tuesday, August 20, 2013

August 20th Sports Picks

Here are my picks for today:

Tigers -1.5 -110 $220 to win $200
- Detroit is at home against the Twins.  Porcello's last start against the Twins he pitched 7 innings and gave up just 3 hits and 0 runs.  He has pitched well this year after his first two starts.  Pelfrey hasn't been pitching well of late and has a 5.57 ERA in his career against the Tigers. 

O's -115 $230 to win $200
- I like the odds in this game as the Orioles are very good at home and Gonzalez is decent.  Cobb is good as well but has only one start since June 15th.  Also, I should add that Baltimore has more left-handed hitters than Tampa.

Royals -1.5 +120 $100 to win $120
- The Royals have a huge pitching edge in this game with Santana vs. Danks.  Santana has a 3.12 ERA at home and Danks has a 5.13 ERA on the road.  KC has been playing well and I see them scoring enough to win by more than one run.

A's -200 $400 to win $200
- Sonny Gray has been very good and in his last start as he blanked the Astros over 8 innings and had 9 strike outs.  I held onto Sonny on my fantasy team and will be starting him again tonight against the Mariners.  Saunders has really struggled over his last six starts with the exception of one start.  He has a 5.60 ERA. 

Jonny

Monday, August 19, 2013

August 19th Sports Picks

I had a rough day yesterday going 1-3.  I hope to turn things around today.  Here are my picks:

Dodgers vs. Marlins under 6.5 -120 $240 to win $200
- Fernandez has been one of the best pitchers in all of baseball this year and especially since the All-Star break.  He has a 1.39 ERA at home.  On the other side, Ryu has been really good over his last four starts.  He has a 2.91 ERA on the year. 

Cardinals -1.5 +120 $100 to win $120
- The Cardinals have a lot to play for and every game is important.  The Brewers have been playing pretty decent ball but Estrada has a 7.71 ERA at home and 6.55 career ERA against the Cards.

Pirates -144 $288 to win $200
- Liriano is coming off a complete games 4-hitter against the Cardinals.  He is lights out and should be able to shut out the Padres tonight.  Cashner has pitched okay but nothing special. 

A's -1.5 EVEN $150 to win $150
- I like Parker and the A's in this spot to win.  Oakland is very good at home (38-23) and Seattle isn't good on the road (26-34).  Parker has pitched very well over his last three starts.  Harang has given up 17 earned runs over his last 12 innings.


Angels -140 $140 to win $100
- Weaver is pitching for the Angels tonight.  He has a 2.25 ERA at home this year and a career ERA against the Indians of 2.86.  Cleveland is pretty good so I couldn't go crazy in this spot.

Jonny

Sunday, August 18, 2013

August 18th Sports Picks

Here are my picks for today:

Reds -1.5 EVEN $150 to win $150
Mets -140 $280 to win $200
Indians vs. A's under 8.5 -110 $220 to win $200
Red Sox -120 $240 to win $200

Jonny

Saturday, August 17, 2013

August 17th Sports Picks

Here are my picks for tonight's games:

Dodgers -1.5 -135 $270 to win $200
- Kershaw has been unhittable this year and especially lately.  Kenrick has struggled.

Nationals +105 $120 to win $126
-Strasburg with plus juice.  Sign me up.

Giants -1.5 +125 $200 to win $250
- Cain has pitched much better of late and they are playing Miami.

Reds -1.5 +110 $200 to win $220
- I like the Reds in this spot with Latos.  Gallardo is making his first start coming off the DL.  He wasn't very good before he got hurt. 

Tigers -1.5 -105 $210 to win $200
- Detroit is coming off two losses yesterday.  They are starting Fister at home (3.01 ERA) against the Royals and Wade Davis.  Davis is bad on the road (6.29 ERA).

Twins under 7 -110 $110 to win $100
- Sale vs. Albers is a good pitching dual.  Sale has a 2.73 ERA and Albers hasn't given up a run in his two starts.  Who is this guy?  He has averaged 8 2/3 innings, 3 hits and 0 runs per start.

M's EVEN $150 to win $150
- I like King Felix and the M's in this spot.  He has a 2.17 ERA on the road. 

O's -1.5 +105 $200 to win $210
- Baltimore will bounce back tonight.  

Jonny

Friday, August 16, 2013

August 16th Sports Picks

I had a very good day yesterday as I went 5-2 for +404.50.  I feel really good about my picks on Friday:

Pirates -145 $290 to win $200
- Pittsburgh is very good at home (41-20) and the Dbacks struggle on the road (26-31).  I like Cole (3.95 ERA) much more than McCarthy (4.73).  This seems like a no-brainer and I would have expected odds more in the -170 range. 

Dodgers vs. Phillies under 7 -110 $110 to win $100
- Greinke has been great over the past 30 days (2.48 ERA).  Lee has struggled a little bit but has a 1.40 career ERA against LAD.  I am less confident in this game but I had to bet it with these two big names going against each other.  
Marlins vs. Giants under 7 -110 $110 to win $100
- Gaudin has been lights out over the past 30 days (2.48 ERA) and he has only given up 10 hits and 2 earned runs over his last three starts.  Eovaldi is really good at home (2.16 ERA) and has has pitched outstanding over his last four starts (3 earned runs in 26 innings. 

Braves -1.5 +125 $150 to win $187.50
- Alex Wood is the real deal.  He has a 2.78 ERA on the season and is 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA over his last two starts.  Taylor Jordan has struggled over his last two starts (6.97 ERA).
Rangers -165 $165 to win $100
- I'm a big fan of Holland who is capable of pitching a gem at any given day.  Iwakuma is coming off a really poor start against the Brewers. 

O's -1.5 +105 $200 to win $210
- Baltimore is good at home (33-25) and Colorado is bad on the road (21-38).  Chen is outstanding at home (2.67) and a really consistent.  Nicasio is bad on the road (6.03 ERA).  This seems like a no brainer as Cargo is still out.

** Adding these late games:

Mets +135 $100 to win $135
Indians vs. A's under 7 EVEN $160 to win $160
Angels -1.5 +125 $100 to win $125

I was going to do the Padres and Astros but I had a change of heart.  Its all about visualization.  Met's hitters are playing really well lately and the Astros just aren't hitting.  Williams could shut them out.  

Jonny

Thursday, August 15, 2013

August 15th Sports Picks

I started the day off really well yesterday with the Tigers and Rockies but lost my other three bets to finish at -$60.  Here are my picks and analysis for today's games:

Nationals -150 $250 to win $167
- The Nationals are getting hot as they have now won 5 straight.  Dan Haren has been pitching very well over his last three starts as he only gave up 11 hits and 3 runs in 21 innings.  Volgelsong hasn't pitched well this year (6.71 ERA) or at home (6.68 ERA).  He has had only one start since May 20th. 

Reds vs. Brewers under 7.5 -110 $110 to win $100
-  This game features two starting pitchers who have been very good over the past 30 days.  They both have a ERAs under 2.00 during that span. 

Angels -103 $100.30 to win $100
- LA has a huge pitching advantage today with CJ Wilson vs. Phil Hughes.  Hughes has been getting lit up lately as he has given up 14 runs in his last 11 innings.  Hughes has a 8.38 ERA against the Angels in his career, a 6.18 ERA at home and a 5.70 ERA in day games.  

A's -210 $400 to win $190.50
- Oakland really let me down last night as I had already won 2 out of 3 on my parlay and just needed the A's to beat Houston.  It didn't happen as they lost in extra innings.  For today, the line is a respectable -210.  This is because the A's are pitching a rookie named Sonny Gray.  Gray is the A's 2011 1st round draft pick coming out of Vanderbilt.  He pitched well in AAA and gets to go against another AAA team in the Astros today...  The A's should get enough offense against Bedard to win this game. 

Tigers -1.5 +110 $140 to win $154
- Detroit's offense is really clicking right now and Fister has been really good this year (2.58 ERA).  He is also very good against KC in his career (0.82 ERA) and at home (2.08 ERA).  Kansas City has been playing well but they just lost two in a row against Miami at home.  Guthie has been inconsistent this year and in his last start against the Tigers he gave up 10 hits and 5 runs in 6 innings.

** Added:

Twins -1.5 +150 $100 to win $150
-  The Twins play pretty good at home (27-29) and the White Sox are horrible on the road (18-41).  Both pitchers aren't very good so we will see some runs scored in this one.  I think the Twins will win so the run-line seems to be the play here. 

Padres vs. Mets under 6.5 +105 $200 to win $210
- Tyson Ross has been unhittable in all four of his starts.  He has a 2.75 ERA this year and 2.16 ERA at home.  On the other side is Matt Wheeler who I am a big fan of.  He's got great stuff and pitching in a pitchers park tonight will benefit him greatly.  I see a 3-1 Padres win. 

Jonny




Wednesday, August 14, 2013

August 14th Sports Picks

I went 2-3 yesterday for -$475.  Looking back I probably wouldn't have changed anything.  Sometimes things just don't go how they should.  Here are my picks today:

Rockies -150 $225 to win $150
- De La Rosa is very good at home (2.59 ERA) and Cashner has really struggled against the Rockies (8.27 ERA in career). 

Tigers -150 $300 to win $200
- Detroit had an off night last night.  They will come back ready to play today.  Porcello has actually looked good lately and shut down the White Sox in his August 4th start. 

Dodgers -1.5 +140 $100 to win $140
- LA is so hot and they are winning games they should be losing.  This game favors the Mets on the hill but the Dodgers have won Capuano's last five starts.  Gee isn't as good on the road (5.43 ERA).  This game is a toss up so I placed a small bet to see if the trend continues. 

Angels under 7.5 -105 $210 to win $200
- Weaver!! The guy is good and he's on his game right now.  On the other side, Nova has been equally impressive.  He's only given up 2 earned runs in his last 21 innings. 

Rays / A's / Rangers Parlay +174 $100 to win $174
- I don't normally do parlays but let's try a three teamer!  All three teams are big favorites and for good reason.  Let's see how this plays out.  

Jonny

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

August 13th Sports Picks

I broke my four day winning streak yesterday as I went 2-3 for -166.  That late home run by the Astros hurt me and turned my winning day into a losing day.  Here are my picks for tonight:

Nationals under 6.5 EVEN $120 to win $120
- This game features two of the best lefties in the game.  Geo Gonzalez has very good numbers against the Giants (1.23 last game, 2.87 career).  He is good at home (3.03) and has only given up more than 2 runs three times this year and more than 3 runs once.  Bumgarner has been very consistent as well and has only given up more than 2 runs once this year.  His last game vs. the Nationals he only gave up 4 hits and 1 run in 7 innings.  He has a 2.65 ERA in his career against the Nats.  


Braves / A's Parlay -121 $180 to win $149
- The Braves and A's are huge favorites (-250/-330) today and for good reason.  The Braves got shut down yesterday against Hamel but today they get a much different pitcher in Ethan Martin who gave up 6 ER in 4.1 innings against the Braves on August 2nd.  Medlen has been average this year but has won three straight.  Oakland is pitching Colon who has been great this year (2.75 ERA) and Houston has been struggling.  Lyles has been really bad of late and I'm guessing the A's bats will destroy him.

Rays -1.5 -110 $165 to win $150
- I really like Chris Archer.  He has a 2.37 ERA at home.  Ramirez has a 7.13 ERA.  He hasn't pitched well in any of his starts this year despite being 3-0.  Tampa will get back on the winning track tonight after struggling against the red hot Dodgers in LA. 

Tigers -190 $330 to win $174
-Detroit is coming off a loss but they are still one of the hottest teams in baseball.  Cabrera and Hunter are locked in right now and that's very bad news for the lefty Santiago.  Also, I love Scherzer who should easily be the AL Cy Young this year.  I'm banking on him moving to 18-1 after tonight's game is over. 

Marlins +1.5 -200 $200 to win $100
-  I'm a huge fan of Jose Fernandez.  He has only given up 91 hits in 132.2 innings this year.  He has a 2.58 ERA and his team has only lost by more than one run in Fernandez's starts this year.  He is capable of shutting any team out.  On the other side, Chen has been very good as well and the Under is looking good.  I'm banking on a close low scoring game here.

Jonny

Monday, August 12, 2013

August 12th Sports Picks

Another positive day yesterday.  I'm on a four day winning streak.  Here are my picks today.  Check back later for the analysis:

Rangers -1.5 -128 $200 to win $140
Braves -170 $200 to win $116
Yankees -152 $200 to win $130
Tigers -121 $160 to win $138

Dodgers -1.5 +115 $230 to win $265
- Sorry I didn't post my analysis for the above games.  The Dodgers are the hottest team in baseball and riding them again today against the lowly Mets.  Mejia is pretty good and has a 1.96 ERA but the Dodgers should score off of him.  Nolasco has been decent this year and I think his offense gives him plenty of run support tonight.  Getting plus odds on the Dodgers is a must bet. 

Jonny

Saturday, August 10, 2013

August 11th Sports Picks

I went 5-1 on Saturday for a total gain of $704.  My only loss was on the Blue Jays -1.5 where I lost in the 9th by a home run.  I really wanted that win but I'll take a huge up day. I was right on with my Giants prediction, 3-2!  For Sunday, these are the my picks:

Blue Jays vs. A's under 9 -120 $120 to win $100
- Dickey vs. Griffin in this match-up.  Dickey has been very good over his last two starts (1-0, 0.66 ERA) so it seems he may be back on track finally.  Griffin has a 2.45 career ERA against the Blue Jays.  I'm not super confident in this bet but with 9 runs I am going with the under. 

Braves / Nationals Parlay $120 to win $121
-The Braves have been really hot and Minor has been outstanding this year (2.76 ERA) and over the last 30 days (1.80 ERA).  The Nationals started to hit, scoring 17 runs over the last two games, and Stasburg is on the hill (1.76 ERA at home). 

Indians -1.5 +115 $100 to win $115
- Masterson has been great this year and has a 2.22 ERA over the past 30 days.  He has great career numbers against the Angels and pitches well at home.  Jerome Williams is on the hill for the Angels who is 0-4 with a 6.84 ERA over his last 30. 

Dodgers -190 $300 to win $158
- Kershaw is the best pitcher in the game this year with a 1.93 ERA.  He's even better at home with a 1.59 ERA.  LA is hot right now and should be able to score off of Hellickson who has not been pitching well of late.

Mariners -185 $360 to win $194.60
-  King Felix is on the hill and I have been burned by a few games he has started but as long as the bullpen doesn't blow another lead I should be able to win this bet.  Hernandez has a 1.29 ERA over the past 30 days and Milwaukee most likely will be shut out.  The under is also looking good because Peralta has been good.

Jonny

August 10th Sports Picks

A small win yesterday.  I'll take that over a loss any day.  Here are my picks today:

Tigers -147 $300 to win $204
- Detroit is the hottest team in baseball and today they have a huge pitching edge over the Yankees.  Sanchez has been outstanding over this last four starts where he has only given up 4 earned runs in 26 2/3 innings.  He has a 2.58 ERA on the season.  Hughes has been the complete opposite giving up 14 earned runs in 24 innings over his last four starts.  He's also not so good at home (6.02 ERA). 

Blue Jays -1.5 +163 $100 to win $163
- I'm going with the home team here.  Toronto and the A's can put up runs so the RL is the right play for me today.  Buehrle just shut out the A's in Oakland back on July 30th and he is better at home (2.95 ERA).  The Blue Jays are healthy and they should not be overlooked.  The A's are pitching a relief pitcher so that is the unknown.

Giants +116 $130 to win $151
- I'm taking the Giants mainly because they are big underdogs at home with a pitcher who has a 2.56 ERA this year and a 1.88 ERA at home.  Gaudin has been one of the best starting pitchers over the last 30 days.  On the other side is Chen who hasn't been bad at all and I'm actually starting him in my fantasy baseball league today.  But I think the Giants get a few runs off of him and win 3-2. 

Tampa vs. Dodgers under 7 -108 $160 to win $148
-Both Greinke and Hernandez have been pitching very well of late.  This game is played in a pitchers park.  Both teams have good offenses but pitching beats hitting more times than not. 

Reds vs. Padres under 8 -102 $204 to win $200
- Ross has been great over his last 30 days where he has a 1.35 ERA.  This guy is very good and can shut down any lineup.  Cingrani has been very consistent and could easily shut down the Padres light hitting lineup. 

Rangers -200 $200 to win $100
- Texas is just much better than Houston.  Holland is very good, especially on the home (2.61 ERA).  I know its crazy to pay -200 for a road team but I like it!

Jonny

Thursday, August 8, 2013

August 9th Sports Picks

I had a positive day on Thursday and hope to keep it going on Friday.  Here are my picks for today:

Reds -160 $320 to win $200
- This is strictly a home vs. away bet.  The Reds are very good at home (35-19) and the Padres are bad on the road (21-35).  Arroyo and Cashner have very similar stats over the last thirty days.  Arroyo is better at home (3.21) and Cashner is much worse on the road (5.02).

Cardinals -1.5 +105 $200 to win $210
- The Cards are just due for a win and they get the lowly Cubs at home with Lynn on the hill.  I didn't want to pay the -200 so the +105 for the run-line looks really good here.  Lynn has a 2.66 ERA at home.

Pirates vs. Rockies under 8.5 -105 $210 to win $200
- This is a match-up of two really good pitchers (Liriano vs. De La Rosa).  Liriano might just win a Cy Young this year as he has a 2.02 ERA which is 2nd in the league after Kershaw.  He has a 1.93 career ERA against the Rockies and has been great over his last three starts.  De La Rosa has a 2.65 ERA at home this year.  That is very good in Colorado.

Dbacks -180 $500 to win $277.80
- I like the -180 because it should be at least -210.  Corbin is one of the best starting pitchers in the league and he goes up against a team that doesn't score many runs.  He sports a 1.50 ERA at home which is even more amazing than De La Rosa's home ERA.  Hefner goes for the Mets and he hasn't been very good over the past 30 days (0-2, 7.66 ERA).

Angels under 7.5 -105 $105.00 to win $100
- This bet is based on the fact that Jered Weaver is pitching.  When this guy is on, he is on!  Over his last four starts he has given up 0, 0, 1 and 3 earned runs.  All against good hitting teams.  On the other side is Kazmir who has actually pitched better than Weaver over the last 30 days (3-0, 1.72 ERA).

Jonny


August 8th Sports Picks

I took the day off yesterday but I'm back today with more picks.  These are the games I'm going with today:

Marlins vs. Pirates under 6.5 -110 $165 to win $150
- Fernandez has been on a major role since the all star break and has only given up more than 2 earned runs once this season.  Cole has also been pretty good recently and Miami's offense is bound to struggle against Cole.

Cubs -1.5 +150 $150 to win $225
- This game is a pick em money line and I am taking the Cubs so why not get the positive juice in the process?  The Cubs are actually pretty decent on the road and Samardzjia has been hit or miss this year.  He has tossed some gems and I'll take the chance with him over a the Phillies and Ethan Martin who is unproven with only one major league start on his record.
 
Giants -170 $340 to win $200

- I couldn't pass on this game.  Yes, Linecum has been inconsistent this year but he has put together some quality starts lately and gets the light hitting Brewers today.  Tim is also much better in day games this year (2.84 ERA).  Donovan Hand hasn't won a game this year and I think the Giant's bats get hot against him today.

Tigers -1.5 +110 $150 to win $165

- Detroit has the pitching edge today with Scherzer vs. McAllister and when Detroit wins its usually by more than one run.  Go Tigers!

Red Sox under 8.5 -120 $200 to win $166

-  I really like the pitching match-up in this game with Lester vs. Chen.  Lester has a 1.64 career ERA against KC and Chen has been great since moving back into the starting rotation.  He has only given up 4 earned runs in 24 innings.  

Jonny

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Wednesday, August 7, 2013

August 7th Sports Picks

No picks today.  I'll have some good plays for Thursday so check back.

Jonny

Tuesday, August 6, 2013

August 6th Sports Picks

I had a great day yesterday.  Today these are the games I like.  Sorry for the late post:

Red Sox RL-115 $230
Royals -190 $570
M's -170 $340
Dbacks +110 $150


Jonny

Monday, August 5, 2013

August 5th Sports Picks

Another good day for me yesterday as I was up over 1 unit.  Here are my plays today:

Braves +120 $100 to win $120
- I hate betting against Strasburg but the Braves and Minor have been very good and I'll take the chance with the positive juice today.

Dodgers +137 $100 to win $137
- The Dodgers have been playing very well of late and Greinke is their best pitcher.  Wainwright hasn't been his normal shut down self of late.  Great odds for the Dodgers today.

Royals -170 $200 to win $117.60
-The Royals are another really hot team and they are at home against the Twins who just swept the Astros.  This is a great spot to go Royals as Guthrie has look very good over his last two starts and has very good career numbers against the Twins.  Correia has a 6.11 ERA on the road and a 5.01 ERA against KC in his career. 

Red Sox -195 $100 to win $51.30
- Lots of juice in this game but I really like the Red Sox to win this game.  Lackey has been great this year and Houston just got swept by the Twins.  I can't go huge on this game because Oberholtzer has pitched very well lately.

Giants -159 $640 to win $400
- Gaudin has been very good and has a 1.96 ERA at home.  Milwaukee isn't very good and they are starting an unproven converted relief pitcher who is inconsistent.

Rangers +105 $200 to win $210
- Texas has been playing very well and J. Williams has been one of the worst starting pitchers in all of baseball this year.  Williams is actually coming off a good start against the Rangers but I don't think he'll do it twice in a row. 

Mariners -135 $270 to win $200
- Iwakuma has been good and Dickey has not.  That's all of analysis on this game.

Jonny

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Sunday, August 4, 2013

August 4th Sports Picks

Pretty good day yesterday.  Here are my picks today:

Dodgers -122 vs. Cubs $100 to win $82
O's -1.5 vs. M's $100 to win $100 (even)
Red Sox -1.5 vs. Dbacks $100 to win $100 (even)
Indians -1.5 +130 (vs. Mia) $100 to win $130
Royals vs. Mets under 7.5 -115 $50 to win $43.50
Nats vs. Milw under 8.5 -115 $5 to win $43.50

Jonny

Saturday, August 3, 2013

August 3rd Sports Picks

Another rough day for me yesterday.  I hope to have a much better day today.  Here are my initial plays:

Rangers +105 (vs A's) 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units
- The Rangers have been hot and the A's have cooled a little.  Garza is much better than Parker.

Orioles -1.5 +105 (vs. M's) 2 Units to win 2.1 Units
- I really like the O's at home. Feldman is really good and Ramirez has a 7.71 ERA.

Angels -1.5 +120 (vs. Blue Jays) 2 Units to win 2.4 Units
- This play is based on the fact that Weaver has been hittable of late.  He has a 2.06 ERA at home this year.  The Angels offense has been good lately and Rogers gave up 8 ER in his last start. 

Indians -127 (vs. Marlins) 2 Units to win 1.58 Units
- Cleveland has been hot and finally lost yesterday.  I think they get back in the win column today and start a new streak.  

Pirates -1.5 +103 (vs. Rockies) 1 Unit to win 1.03 Units
- Lirano has been lights out this year and sports a 1.61 ERA at home.  I think he can shut down the Rockies and the Pirates offense should be able to get a few runs off De La Rosa who has been good but is coming off a poor start.

Jonny

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Friday, August 2, 2013

August 2nd Sports Picks

I had another bad day yesterday as I took two bad beats with the Phillies and Mariners losing in the 9th.  For today, here are my plays:

Cubs +122 1.5 Units
Rockies vs. Pirates over 7.5 +105 2.5 Units
Giants vs. Tampa under 7 -110 2.2 Units
Orioles -165 3.3 Units
A's -135 2.7 Units
Indians vs. Marlins under 7 -110 2.2 Units
Red Sox RL +110 1.5 Units

Jonny

Thursday, August 1, 2013

August 1st Sports Picks

My July ended pretty poorly but I hope to get back on the winning track again starting today.  My five plays today are:

Mets - 160 4.8 Units
- I can't avoid the pitching advantage the Mets have today.  Go Harvey!

Phillies ML -120 1.8 Units, RL +170 1 Unit
- Matt Cain has been really bad this year so I'll go with the Phillies at home who are pitching Hamel.

White Sox vs. Indians under 7 -110 2.2 Units
- Another great pitching matchup with Sale vs. Masterson.  Anything can happen but the odds say this will be a low scoring game.  The wind is not a factor.

Mariners EVEN 2.5 Units
- Getting Felix Hernandez at these odds can't be ignored. 

Sorry for the brief analysis.  Good luck today.

Jonny