After the All Star break I am back. And I promise to start getting these picks in earlier in the day. It was just a really busy day. But here are the games I'm going with today:
Tigers -160 $320 to win $200
- Detroit is home where they weren't as good (25-22) but Cleveland has been bad on the road (18-28). Sanchez is a big game pitcher and one of the best in the league in my opinion. He has a 2.34 career ERA against Cleveland and has a 2.48 ERA in night games. Bauer is bad on the road with a 5.48 ERA. He also has a 4.38 career ERA against Detroit and a 4.19 ERA in night games. Go with Detroit in this one.
A's vs. O's under 7.5 $115 to win $100
- Chris Tillman has been pitching very well of late with a 2.36 ERA over his last 30 days. He also boasts a 1.96 career ERA against Oakland. He hasn't pitched well on the road or in night games so take that into account but those are minor stats. For Oakland, Jeff Samardzija has pitched great this year (2.78 ERA). He has pitched well in the AL so far giving up just four runs in 15 innings. He has a 2.61 ERA in night games.
Mariners vs. Angels under 7.5 -120 $240 to win $200
- This pitching match-up is hard to ignore. Weaver has been on fire lately. He posts a 2.73 ERA over the last 30 days. He pitches really well at home (2.67 ERA). Iwakuma has a 2.98 ERA on the season. Over his last three starts he has given up just three runs over 21.2 innings. Oh, and he also has a career 1.49 ERA against the Angels.
Cubs vs. Dbacks over 9 -105 $210 to win $200
- Cahill has a 1-6 record with a 5.66 ERA. He hasn't pitched since June 6. Jackson has a 5-10 record with a 5.64 ERA. Over the last 30 days he has a 7.67 ERA. This game is being played in a hitter's park. Take the over with confidence.
Jonny
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