After the All Star break I am back. And I promise to start getting these picks in earlier in the day. It was just a really busy day. But here are the games I'm going with today:
Tigers -160 $320 to win $200
- Detroit is home where they weren't as good (25-22) but Cleveland has been bad on the road (18-28). Sanchez is a big game pitcher and one of the best in the league in my opinion. He has a 2.34 career ERA against Cleveland and has a 2.48 ERA in night games. Bauer is bad on the road with a 5.48 ERA. He also has a 4.38 career ERA against Detroit and a 4.19 ERA in night games. Go with Detroit in this one.
A's vs. O's under 7.5 $115 to win $100
- Chris Tillman has been pitching very well of late with a 2.36 ERA over his last 30 days. He also boasts a 1.96 career ERA against Oakland. He hasn't pitched well on the road or in night games so take that into account but those are minor stats. For Oakland, Jeff Samardzija has pitched great this year (2.78 ERA). He has pitched well in the AL so far giving up just four runs in 15 innings. He has a 2.61 ERA in night games.
Mariners vs. Angels under 7.5 -120 $240 to win $200
- This pitching match-up is hard to ignore. Weaver has been on fire lately. He posts a 2.73 ERA over the last 30 days. He pitches really well at home (2.67 ERA). Iwakuma has a 2.98 ERA on the season. Over his last three starts he has given up just three runs over 21.2 innings. Oh, and he also has a career 1.49 ERA against the Angels.
Cubs vs. Dbacks over 9 -105 $210 to win $200
- Cahill has a 1-6 record with a 5.66 ERA. He hasn't pitched since June 6. Jackson has a 5-10 record with a 5.64 ERA. Over the last 30 days he has a 7.67 ERA. This game is being played in a hitter's park. Take the over with confidence.
Jonny
Friday, July 18, 2014
Monday, July 14, 2014
July 14, 2014 Sports Picks
No picks again today as it's the home run derby. I did put a few wagers on the matchups, NL winning and Stanton or Cespedes to win but there really isn't much analysis needed in this one. I was 3-0 on Saturday for +416. Overall I am now 11-3-1 for +$1,366.
Jonny
Jonny
Saturday, July 12, 2014
July 12, 2014 Sports Picks
I took the day off yesterday. I have had a good start going 1-0 for +200 on Thursday. Overall I am 8-3-1 for +950. Here is what I'm going with today:
Braves ML -120 $120 to win $100
- Edwin Jackson has been very bad over the past 30 days going 1-3 with a 6.00 ERA in 27 innings. Mike Minor hasn't been much better (4.91 ERA over last 30 days) but he is a much better pitcher and I like his competitive drive. He's coming off a very good start against the Mets where he pitched seven innings and gave up just two hits and two runs. The Braves are tied for first place and the Cubs are in last.
Cardinals ML -135 $270 to win $200
- I'm really liking these odds with Adam Wainwright on the hill. Wainwright has a 1.79 ERA on the season and a miniscule 0.59 ERA over the last 30 days! He has a career 2.17 ERA against the Brewers and has pitched very well on the road this year (1.32 ERA). If he pitches well today I think he'll start in the All-Star game. For the Brewers, Jimmy Nelson is making just his second start of the season. Nelson had very good numbers in triple A but I would rather go with experience over potential in this one.
Tigers ML +116 $100 to win $116
- The Tigers have been hot winning 7 of there last 10 games and four in a row. Rick Porcello has been very good over the last 30 days (2.45 ERA). James Shields hasn't pitched as well over the last 30 days (4.50) and he has poor career numbers against Detroit (4.49 ERA) and in night games (4.66 ERA). He is however coming off a very strong start against the Rays (7 innings, 3 hits, 0 R) so I couldn't go too crazy with his potential.
Jonny
Braves ML -120 $120 to win $100
- Edwin Jackson has been very bad over the past 30 days going 1-3 with a 6.00 ERA in 27 innings. Mike Minor hasn't been much better (4.91 ERA over last 30 days) but he is a much better pitcher and I like his competitive drive. He's coming off a very good start against the Mets where he pitched seven innings and gave up just two hits and two runs. The Braves are tied for first place and the Cubs are in last.
Cardinals ML -135 $270 to win $200
- I'm really liking these odds with Adam Wainwright on the hill. Wainwright has a 1.79 ERA on the season and a miniscule 0.59 ERA over the last 30 days! He has a career 2.17 ERA against the Brewers and has pitched very well on the road this year (1.32 ERA). If he pitches well today I think he'll start in the All-Star game. For the Brewers, Jimmy Nelson is making just his second start of the season. Nelson had very good numbers in triple A but I would rather go with experience over potential in this one.
Tigers ML +116 $100 to win $116
- The Tigers have been hot winning 7 of there last 10 games and four in a row. Rick Porcello has been very good over the last 30 days (2.45 ERA). James Shields hasn't pitched as well over the last 30 days (4.50) and he has poor career numbers against Detroit (4.49 ERA) and in night games (4.66 ERA). He is however coming off a very strong start against the Rays (7 innings, 3 hits, 0 R) so I couldn't go too crazy with his potential.
Jonny
Thursday, July 10, 2014
July 10, 2014 Sports Picks
I went 1-1-1 yesterday and broke even. Overall I am 7-3-1 for +750. I only have one game tonight and here it is folks:
Nationals vs. Orioles under 8.5 -115 $230 to win $200
- The 8.5 seems a bit too high considering the caliber of pitcher going tonight. Gio Gonzalez has a 1.38 ERA over the last 30 days. He has a 2.41 ERA in night games and has decent numbers against Baltimore in his career (3.75 ERA). For Baltimore, Chen is just always consistant and normally doesn't give up more than 3 earned runs in his starts. His ERA is always around 4.00. Which means he gives up 3 ER in 7 innings. He has a 3.62 ERA in night games. Under should be good here.
If I were to do other games I would look at these:
Mets vs. Braves under 7
Pirates RL
Dodgers RL
Yanks/Indians over 8
Mariners ML
Jonny
Nationals vs. Orioles under 8.5 -115 $230 to win $200
- The 8.5 seems a bit too high considering the caliber of pitcher going tonight. Gio Gonzalez has a 1.38 ERA over the last 30 days. He has a 2.41 ERA in night games and has decent numbers against Baltimore in his career (3.75 ERA). For Baltimore, Chen is just always consistant and normally doesn't give up more than 3 earned runs in his starts. His ERA is always around 4.00. Which means he gives up 3 ER in 7 innings. He has a 3.62 ERA in night games. Under should be good here.
If I were to do other games I would look at these:
Mets vs. Braves under 7
Pirates RL
Dodgers RL
Yanks/Indians over 8
Mariners ML
Jonny
Wednesday, July 9, 2014
July 9, 2014 Sports Picks
Well day two was good as I went 3-1 for +350. Overall I am 6-2 for +750. For today I am going with these late games:
A's RL +130 $150 to win $175
- Oakland landed a very good pitcher in Jason Hammel. Hammel is 8-5 with a 2.98 ERA on the season. He has pitched well in his last three starts and has a lifetime 3.02 ERA against San Fran in his career. Oakland has been hot all year and are 7-3 over their last ten games and have won six straight. They have a very good 27-18 road record. The Giants are just 3-7 over their last ten games and are just 25-23 at home. Matt Cain just isn't as good as he used to be. He is 0-4 with a 5.58 ERA over the last 30 days. Not so good.
A's vs. Giants over 7 EVEN $100 to win $100
- Both teams can hit and Matt Cain is not very good. I think we see some scoring in this one.
Twins vs. Mariners over 7.5 $165 to win $150
-Both Kyle Gibson and Roenis Elias haven't pitched well over the last 30 days. Elias has a 5.79 ERA and Gibson has 4.85 ERA over that span. Gibson has a very poor 5.54 ERA on the road and 4.82 in night games. Elias has a 5.09 ERA in night games and he gave up four earned runs in his last start against the Twins. Both teams can hit and I think they put it together tonight.
Jonny
A's RL +130 $150 to win $175
- Oakland landed a very good pitcher in Jason Hammel. Hammel is 8-5 with a 2.98 ERA on the season. He has pitched well in his last three starts and has a lifetime 3.02 ERA against San Fran in his career. Oakland has been hot all year and are 7-3 over their last ten games and have won six straight. They have a very good 27-18 road record. The Giants are just 3-7 over their last ten games and are just 25-23 at home. Matt Cain just isn't as good as he used to be. He is 0-4 with a 5.58 ERA over the last 30 days. Not so good.
A's vs. Giants over 7 EVEN $100 to win $100
- Both teams can hit and Matt Cain is not very good. I think we see some scoring in this one.
Twins vs. Mariners over 7.5 $165 to win $150
-Both Kyle Gibson and Roenis Elias haven't pitched well over the last 30 days. Elias has a 5.79 ERA and Gibson has 4.85 ERA over that span. Gibson has a very poor 5.54 ERA on the road and 4.82 in night games. Elias has a 5.09 ERA in night games and he gave up four earned runs in his last start against the Twins. Both teams can hit and I think they put it together tonight.
Jonny
Tuesday, July 8, 2014
July 8, 2014 Sports Picks
Well it was a good start yesterday as I went 3-1 for +$400. With baseball, you are going to have some ups and downs and a lot of unexpected things happen but as long as I do my research I feel good about putting my money where my mouth is. Or something like that....
For tonight, I'm starting with this:
Yankees RL Even $150 to win $150
- Its hard taking a road team that is this much of a favorite but its hard to deny the pitching of Masahiro Tanaka. The man is having a great season in his first year in the MLB going 12-3 with a 2.27 ERA. Cleveland hasn't faced him yet and that gives him an even bigger edge in this one. New York has been playing great ball going 4-1 over their last five games (all on the road). Cleveland has played very well at home this year (25-17) but they are just 5-5 over their last ten games. Trevor Bauer has had his moments this year but is just 2-4 with a 4.42 ERA and the Yankees have a lot of good left-handed bats in their lineup. Bauer has given up at least three earned runs in all of his last six starts.
Ok, so I lost the Yankees game but I have an opportunity to get it back on the late games. Here is what I'm going with.
Blue Jays +1.5 -140 $140 to win $100
- R.A Dickey has pitched well over the last 30 days. The Blue Jays have lost five games in a row and they need a win bad. This just seems like a good night to do it against Tyler Skaggs who has only one start over the last 30 days and has a 5.80 ERA at home this season. This is a tough one as I think it could go either way but I like getting points in this one with good odds.
Twins vs. Mariners under 7.5 -120 $240 to win $200
- Both teams are not hitting that well and both pitchers have been pitching well this year. Phil Hughes hasn't pitched very well over his last two starts but he does have a 2.59 ERA on the road and has a respectable 3.67 career ERA against Seattle. In his last start against the Mariners he went 7 innings and gave up just three hits and no runs. Chris Young has a 2.40 ERA over the past 30 days. He has a 2.19 ERA at home this year.
A's -155 $310 to win $200
Sonny Gray has pitched well all season and has a 3.20 ERA at home and a 2.98 ERA in night games. He is coming off a very strong start against Toronto where he gave up just one run in seven innings. Bumgarner has pitched well but not great of late (4.09 ERA over last 30 days). He has a career 5.68 ERA against Oakland. Oakland has won 5 straight and are playing very well and have a very good 29-15 home record. San Fran is going the opposite direction losing seven of their last three games.
Jonny
For tonight, I'm starting with this:
Yankees RL Even $150 to win $150
- Its hard taking a road team that is this much of a favorite but its hard to deny the pitching of Masahiro Tanaka. The man is having a great season in his first year in the MLB going 12-3 with a 2.27 ERA. Cleveland hasn't faced him yet and that gives him an even bigger edge in this one. New York has been playing great ball going 4-1 over their last five games (all on the road). Cleveland has played very well at home this year (25-17) but they are just 5-5 over their last ten games. Trevor Bauer has had his moments this year but is just 2-4 with a 4.42 ERA and the Yankees have a lot of good left-handed bats in their lineup. Bauer has given up at least three earned runs in all of his last six starts.
Ok, so I lost the Yankees game but I have an opportunity to get it back on the late games. Here is what I'm going with.
Blue Jays +1.5 -140 $140 to win $100
- R.A Dickey has pitched well over the last 30 days. The Blue Jays have lost five games in a row and they need a win bad. This just seems like a good night to do it against Tyler Skaggs who has only one start over the last 30 days and has a 5.80 ERA at home this season. This is a tough one as I think it could go either way but I like getting points in this one with good odds.
Twins vs. Mariners under 7.5 -120 $240 to win $200
- Both teams are not hitting that well and both pitchers have been pitching well this year. Phil Hughes hasn't pitched very well over his last two starts but he does have a 2.59 ERA on the road and has a respectable 3.67 career ERA against Seattle. In his last start against the Mariners he went 7 innings and gave up just three hits and no runs. Chris Young has a 2.40 ERA over the past 30 days. He has a 2.19 ERA at home this year.
A's -155 $310 to win $200
Sonny Gray has pitched well all season and has a 3.20 ERA at home and a 2.98 ERA in night games. He is coming off a very strong start against Toronto where he gave up just one run in seven innings. Bumgarner has pitched well but not great of late (4.09 ERA over last 30 days). He has a career 5.68 ERA against Oakland. Oakland has won 5 straight and are playing very well and have a very good 29-15 home record. San Fran is going the opposite direction losing seven of their last three games.
Jonny
Monday, July 7, 2014
July 7, 2014 Sports Picks
Hey everyone, this is Jonny and I'm back. I'm going to be doing sports picks through the end of the baseball season and obviously for football. For tonight's MLB games I am going with the following:
Cardinals ML -180 $360 to win $200
- Adam Wainwright is on the mound at home so why not make my first bet with one of the MLB's best pitchers. Wainwright is 11-4 with a 1.89 ERA on the season. Over the last 30 days, Wainwright is on fire going 3-1 with a 0.59 ERA. Over his last four starts he has given up just two earned runs. He is also much better in night games (1.43 ERA). The Cardinals are good at home going 24-19. For Pittsburgh, Charlie Morton has had a below average season going 5-9 with a 3.30 ERA. He hasn't been much better over the last 30 days (3-2, 3.27 ERA). Pittsburgh as been hot of late winning three straight and eight of their last ten.
Red Sox RL -115 $115to win $100
- Boston has had a rough season so far but they are still in it at this point despite the 39-49 record. They have played close to .500 at home and each game is important if they want to repeat as champs. Boston has a pitching advantage in this game. Clay Bucholtz looked like he was back in form after his last start pitching 6 1/3 innings while giving up just five hits, one run and no walks. For Chicago, Scott Carroll has been bad all year going 2-5 with a 5.05 ERA. Over the last 30 days he has a 5.60 ERA. Hopefully they get this game in tonight.
Angels RL +115 $100 to win $115
- The Angels are 7-3 over their last ten (and won four straight) and the Blue Jays are 3-7 over the last ten (and lost four straight). Jerad Weaver has been pitching well. Weaver is much better at home (2.75 ERA) and has very good numbers against Toronto in his career (9-2, 3.48 ERA). Happ has struggled on the road (5.14 ERA) and against the Angels in his career (9.45 ERA).
Mariners RL -110 $220 to win $200
- Seattle is playing good ball right now (6-4 over their last 10) and they have a nice pitching advantage with Iwakuma (6-4, 3.33) vs. Correia (4-10, 4.95 ERA). The Twins have been struggling and are just 3-7 over their last ten. Correia has pitched well over the last 30 days (2.40 ERA) but really struggles in night games (6.37 ERA) and this is a late game. His career ERA against Seattle is just 6.65. Oh, and Iwakuma has amazing numbers against the Twins in his career (0.00 ERA in 26.2 innings!).
Jonny
Cardinals ML -180 $360 to win $200
- Adam Wainwright is on the mound at home so why not make my first bet with one of the MLB's best pitchers. Wainwright is 11-4 with a 1.89 ERA on the season. Over the last 30 days, Wainwright is on fire going 3-1 with a 0.59 ERA. Over his last four starts he has given up just two earned runs. He is also much better in night games (1.43 ERA). The Cardinals are good at home going 24-19. For Pittsburgh, Charlie Morton has had a below average season going 5-9 with a 3.30 ERA. He hasn't been much better over the last 30 days (3-2, 3.27 ERA). Pittsburgh as been hot of late winning three straight and eight of their last ten.
Red Sox RL -115 $115to win $100
- Boston has had a rough season so far but they are still in it at this point despite the 39-49 record. They have played close to .500 at home and each game is important if they want to repeat as champs. Boston has a pitching advantage in this game. Clay Bucholtz looked like he was back in form after his last start pitching 6 1/3 innings while giving up just five hits, one run and no walks. For Chicago, Scott Carroll has been bad all year going 2-5 with a 5.05 ERA. Over the last 30 days he has a 5.60 ERA. Hopefully they get this game in tonight.
Angels RL +115 $100 to win $115
- The Angels are 7-3 over their last ten (and won four straight) and the Blue Jays are 3-7 over the last ten (and lost four straight). Jerad Weaver has been pitching well. Weaver is much better at home (2.75 ERA) and has very good numbers against Toronto in his career (9-2, 3.48 ERA). Happ has struggled on the road (5.14 ERA) and against the Angels in his career (9.45 ERA).
Mariners RL -110 $220 to win $200
- Seattle is playing good ball right now (6-4 over their last 10) and they have a nice pitching advantage with Iwakuma (6-4, 3.33) vs. Correia (4-10, 4.95 ERA). The Twins have been struggling and are just 3-7 over their last ten. Correia has pitched well over the last 30 days (2.40 ERA) but really struggles in night games (6.37 ERA) and this is a late game. His career ERA against Seattle is just 6.65. Oh, and Iwakuma has amazing numbers against the Twins in his career (0.00 ERA in 26.2 innings!).
Jonny
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)