I have a few quality picks today. I'm liking a few games a lot today. Here they are people:
Padres vs. Twins under 8.5 EVEN $400 to win $400
- Wind is blowing in. Correia has pitched well of late. He has given up more than two earned runs in only three of his last ten starts. For the Padres, Despaigne has a 2.68 ERA on the season. The Twins have never faced him so that gives him a slight edge.
Rays vs. A's under 7 -105 $210 to win $200
- I really like this pitching matchup. Hellickson vs. Gray. Hellickson has a 3.29 ERA and Gray sports a fancy 2.59 ERA. Both guys have good stats against their opponent. Hellickson's last game against the A's he pitched seven strong innings giving up just three hits and no runs. Gray's last start against the Rays he pitched eight innings giving up just five hits and one run. Oakland is a pitcher's park and losing Cespedes has affected their offensive production. In August they have scored 0, 8, 2, 3, 3 averaging 3.2 runs per game. Four of those five games were under 7 for both teams combined. This one figures to be another low scoring game.
White Sox RL -105 $315 to win $300
- Chris Sale has been one of the best pitchers in the game this year. On the season he is 10-1 with a 2.09 ERA. He has been consistant and has a 2.24 ERA at home and a 2.17 ERA in day games. Texas has struggled lately and is sitting in last place in the AL West. They have won just three games in their last ten. Tepesch hasn't been good this year. He has a 4.84 ERA on the season, 5.75 road ERA and a whopping 7.07 ERA in day games. He didn't fare too well against the Sox in his only start against them (6.2 innings, 8 hits, 5 runs).
Brewers ML -135 $270 to win $200
- Milwaukee is in first place in the NL Central and their ace is on the mound. They are only favored at -135? That is confusing to me but I'll take advantage of it. Gallardo is on fire coming off two outstanding starts where he pitched 7.2 and 7 innings giving up four hits in each game and no runs. He is locked in right now. The Brewers offense is playing well also averaging five runs per game in August. For San Fransisco, Volgelsong has been okay and is coming off a complete game win against the Mets. Before that game, Volgelsong has giving up runs of 4, 3, 2, 3 in his prior four starts. Not too bad but I'll take my chances with the better team, at home with their ace.
Angels ML -140 $700 to win $500
- I know I'm going a lot on this game but I couldn't resist. The Angel's offense has been on fire lately, especially Trout and Pujols. Dan Haren has been very bad lately and I'm surprised he is still in the Dodger's rotation. Over his last ten starts, Haren's ERA has gone from 3.49 to 4.76. He has a 5.40 road ERA and now has to play one of the best teams in baseball with the league's best hitter. Good luck son! For the Angels, Shoemaker is serviceable. He is 9-3 with a 4.09 ERA. He has pitched well over his last five starts giving up just 10 runs in 27.2 innings lowering his ERA over that stretch. He has a very good 2.84 ERA at home this season. This should be a fun game to watch and I fully expect the Angels to take care of business.
Jonny
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