Monday, July 21, 2014

July 20, 2014 Sports Picks

I took yesterday off.  I was at a wedding all day.  Saturday I didn't fare so well going 0-3 for -698.  Overall I am now 12-8-2 for +$333.  For tonight, I'm going with these games:

Pirates ML -105 $210 to win $200
- Pittsburgh has been playing good ball winning there games in a row.  Edison Volquez is locked in right now.  He is 4-0 with a 0.90 ERA over the last 30 days.  For the Dodgers, RYU has just a 4.09 ERA over the last 30 days.  Pittsburgh is very good at home going 32-20 on the season.

Marlins vs. Braves under 7 -105 $105 to win $100
- Julio Teheran loves pitching at home.  He has a 1.23 ERA this year at home.  He as a career 2.50 ERA against Miami.  For the Marlins, Koehler has had his ups and down this year but has a 3.99 ERA on the season and a 3.62 career ERA against Atlanta.

Yankees -165 $330 to win $200
- For the Yanks, Shane Greene has been outstanding in his two starts this season going 2-0 with a 1.32 ERA.  In his last game he pitched 7.1 innings giving up just four hits and no runs and striking out nine. And this was against a very good Baltimore team.  NY won three straight.  Texas is just 1-9 over their last ten games.  They are really struggling right now.  Their starting pitcher, Miles Mikolas has a 10.05 ERA on the season.  This seems like a no brainer.

I may post a few more later games shortly.


Saturday, July 19, 2014

July 18, 2014 Sports Picks

Yesterday was going just fine until Josh Donaldson hit a 3 run homerun in the bottom of the ninth to help the A's win 5-4.  That homerun contributed to me going 1-2-1 for -$235.  It happens in this profession.  Just need to pick myself up!  Overall, I am 12-5-2 for +$1,031.

For today, here are my picks:

Giants vs. Marlins under 7.5 -120 $240 to win $200
- Tim Hudson is having another great year with a 2.87 ERA.  He has struggled a bit over the last 30 days but has a 2.95 career ERA against Miami, 2.52 ERA on the road and 2.06 ERA in night games.  On the other side, Henderson Alvarez has a 2.63 ERA on the season and three complete games.  He has really good numbers over the past 30 days (3-1 with a 2.81 ERA).  He has a home ERA of just 1.56. 

 Tigers G2 ML -175 $350 to win $200
- Detroit has a huge pitching edge in this game with Max Scherzer vs. Zach McAllister.  Scherzer is 11-3 with a 3.35 ERA on the season and McAllister is just 3-5 with a 3-5 5.63 ERA.  Scherzer has been really hot lately and has just a 1.61 ERA over the last 30 days.  McAllister has a 5.02 career ERA against Detroit and a 6.46 ERA on the road.

Astros ML -108 $108 to win $100
- Hector Noesi pitches for the White Sox and he is not having a good season.  He has a 3-7 record with a 5.26 ERA.  He has a 7.27 ERA against Houston, a 5.15 ERA at home and a 4.63 ERA in night games.  For the Astros, Dallas Keuchel is having a very good season going 9-5 with a 3.20 ERA and 3 complete games.  In his last game against the White Sox he pitched 6.1 innings and gave up just four hits and two runs in the win.  He has struggled a bit over the last 30 days so keep that in mind. 


Friday, July 18, 2014

July 17, 2014 Sports Picks

After the All Star break I am back.  And I promise to start getting these picks in earlier in the day.  It was just a really busy day.  But here are the games I'm going with today:

Tigers -160 $320 to win $200
- Detroit is home where they weren't as good (25-22) but Cleveland has been bad on the road (18-28).  Sanchez is a big game pitcher and one of the best in the league in my opinion.  He has a 2.34 career ERA against Cleveland and has a 2.48 ERA in night games.  Bauer is bad on the road with a 5.48 ERA. He also has a 4.38 career ERA against Detroit and a 4.19 ERA in night games.  Go with Detroit in this one.

A's vs. O's under 7.5 $115 to win $100
- Chris Tillman has been pitching very well of late with a 2.36 ERA over his last 30 days.  He also boasts a 1.96 career ERA against Oakland.  He hasn't pitched well on the road or in night games so take that into account but those are minor stats.  For Oakland, Jeff Samardzija has pitched great this year (2.78 ERA).  He has pitched well in the AL so far giving up just four runs in 15 innings.  He has a 2.61 ERA in night games. 

Mariners vs. Angels under 7.5 -120 $240 to win $200
- This pitching match-up is hard to ignore.  Weaver has been on fire lately.  He posts a 2.73 ERA over the last 30 days.  He pitches really well at home (2.67 ERA).  Iwakuma has a 2.98 ERA on the season.  Over his last three starts he has given up just three runs over 21.2 innings.  Oh, and he also has a career 1.49 ERA against the Angels.   

Cubs vs. Dbacks over 9 -105 $210 to win $200
- Cahill has a 1-6 record with a 5.66 ERA.  He hasn't pitched since June 6.  Jackson has a 5-10 record with a 5.64 ERA.  Over the last 30 days he has a 7.67 ERA.  This game is being played in a hitter's park.  Take the over with confidence. 


Monday, July 14, 2014

July 14, 2014 Sports Picks

No picks again today as it's the home run derby.  I did put a few wagers on the matchups, NL winning and Stanton or Cespedes to win but there really isn't much analysis needed in this one.  I was 3-0 on Saturday for +416.  Overall I am now 11-3-1 for +$1,366.


Saturday, July 12, 2014

July 12, 2014 Sports Picks

I took the day off yesterday.  I have had a good start going 1-0 for +200 on Thursday.  Overall I am 8-3-1 for +950.  Here is what I'm going with today:

Braves ML -120 $120 to win $100
- Edwin Jackson has been very bad over the past 30 days going 1-3 with a 6.00 ERA in 27 innings.  Mike Minor hasn't been much better (4.91 ERA over last 30 days) but he is a much better pitcher and I like his competitive drive.  He's coming off a very good start against the Mets where he pitched seven innings and gave up just two hits and two runs.  The Braves are tied for first place and the Cubs are in last. 

Cardinals ML -135 $270 to win $200
- I'm really liking these odds with Adam Wainwright on the hill.  Wainwright has a 1.79 ERA on the season and a miniscule 0.59 ERA over the last 30 days!  He has a career 2.17 ERA against the Brewers and has pitched very well on the road this year (1.32 ERA).  If he pitches well today I think he'll start in the All-Star game.  For the Brewers, Jimmy Nelson is making just his second start of the season.  Nelson had very good numbers in triple A but I would rather go with experience over potential in this one. 

Tigers ML +116 $100 to win $116
- The Tigers have been hot winning 7 of there last 10 games and four in a row.  Rick Porcello has been very good over the last 30 days (2.45 ERA).  James Shields hasn't pitched as well over the last 30 days (4.50) and he has poor career numbers against Detroit (4.49 ERA) and in night games (4.66 ERA).  He is however coming off a very strong start against the Rays (7 innings, 3 hits, 0 R) so I couldn't go too crazy with his potential.


Thursday, July 10, 2014

July 10, 2014 Sports Picks

I went 1-1-1 yesterday and broke even.  Overall I am 7-3-1 for +750.  I only have one game tonight and here it is folks:

Nationals vs. Orioles under 8.5 -115 $230 to win $200
- The 8.5 seems a bit too high considering the caliber of pitcher going tonight.  Gio Gonzalez has a 1.38 ERA over the last 30 days.  He has a 2.41 ERA in night games and has decent numbers against Baltimore in his career (3.75 ERA).  For Baltimore, Chen is just always consistant and normally doesn't give up more than 3 earned runs in his starts.  His ERA is always around 4.00.  Which means he gives up 3 ER in 7 innings.  He has a 3.62 ERA in night games.  Under should be good here. 

If I were to do other games I would look at these:
Mets vs. Braves under 7
Pirates RL
Dodgers RL
Yanks/Indians over 8
Mariners ML


Wednesday, July 9, 2014

July 9, 2014 Sports Picks

Well day two was good as I went 3-1 for +350.  Overall I am 6-2 for +750.  For today I am going with these late games:

A's RL +130 $150 to win $175
- Oakland landed a very good pitcher in Jason Hammel.  Hammel is 8-5 with a 2.98 ERA on the season.  He has pitched well in his last three starts and has a lifetime 3.02 ERA against San Fran in his career.  Oakland has been hot all year and are 7-3 over their last ten games and have won six straight.  They have a very good 27-18 road record.  The Giants are just 3-7 over their last ten games and are just 25-23 at home.  Matt Cain just isn't as good as he used to be.  He is 0-4 with a 5.58 ERA over the last 30 days.  Not so good. 

A's vs. Giants over 7 EVEN $100 to win $100
- Both teams can hit and Matt Cain is not very good.  I think we see some scoring in this one. 

Twins vs. Mariners over 7.5 $165 to win $150
 -Both Kyle Gibson and Roenis Elias haven't pitched well over the last 30 days.  Elias has a 5.79 ERA and Gibson has 4.85 ERA over that span.  Gibson has a very poor 5.54 ERA on the road and 4.82 in night games.  Elias has a 5.09 ERA in night games and he gave up four earned runs in his last start against the Twins.  Both teams can hit and I think they put it together tonight.