I took the day off yesterday. I have had a good start going 1-0 for +200 on Thursday. Overall I am 8-3-1 for +950. Here is what I'm going with today:
Braves ML -120 $120 to win $100
- Edwin Jackson has been very bad over the past 30 days going 1-3 with a 6.00 ERA in 27 innings. Mike Minor hasn't been much better (4.91 ERA over last 30 days) but he is a much better pitcher and I like his competitive drive. He's coming off a very good start against the Mets where he pitched seven innings and gave up just two hits and two runs. The Braves are tied for first place and the Cubs are in last.
Cardinals ML -135 $270 to win $200
- I'm really liking these odds with Adam Wainwright on the hill. Wainwright has a 1.79 ERA on the season and a miniscule 0.59 ERA over the last 30 days! He has a career 2.17 ERA against the Brewers and has pitched very well on the road this year (1.32 ERA). If he pitches well today I think he'll start in the All-Star game. For the Brewers, Jimmy Nelson is making just his second start of the season. Nelson had very good numbers in triple A but I would rather go with experience over potential in this one.
Tigers ML +116 $100 to win $116
- The Tigers have been hot winning 7 of there last 10 games and four in a row. Rick Porcello has been very good over the last 30 days (2.45 ERA). James Shields hasn't pitched as well over the last 30 days (4.50) and he has poor career numbers against Detroit (4.49 ERA) and in night games (4.66 ERA). He is however coming off a very strong start against the Rays (7 innings, 3 hits, 0 R) so I couldn't go too crazy with his potential.
Jonny
Saturday, July 12, 2014
Thursday, July 10, 2014
July 10, 2014 Sports Picks
I went 1-1-1 yesterday and broke even. Overall I am 7-3-1 for +750. I only have one game tonight and here it is folks:
Nationals vs. Orioles under 8.5 -115 $230 to win $200
- The 8.5 seems a bit too high considering the caliber of pitcher going tonight. Gio Gonzalez has a 1.38 ERA over the last 30 days. He has a 2.41 ERA in night games and has decent numbers against Baltimore in his career (3.75 ERA). For Baltimore, Chen is just always consistant and normally doesn't give up more than 3 earned runs in his starts. His ERA is always around 4.00. Which means he gives up 3 ER in 7 innings. He has a 3.62 ERA in night games. Under should be good here.
If I were to do other games I would look at these:
Mets vs. Braves under 7
Pirates RL
Dodgers RL
Yanks/Indians over 8
Mariners ML
Jonny
Nationals vs. Orioles under 8.5 -115 $230 to win $200
- The 8.5 seems a bit too high considering the caliber of pitcher going tonight. Gio Gonzalez has a 1.38 ERA over the last 30 days. He has a 2.41 ERA in night games and has decent numbers against Baltimore in his career (3.75 ERA). For Baltimore, Chen is just always consistant and normally doesn't give up more than 3 earned runs in his starts. His ERA is always around 4.00. Which means he gives up 3 ER in 7 innings. He has a 3.62 ERA in night games. Under should be good here.
If I were to do other games I would look at these:
Mets vs. Braves under 7
Pirates RL
Dodgers RL
Yanks/Indians over 8
Mariners ML
Jonny
Wednesday, July 9, 2014
July 9, 2014 Sports Picks
Well day two was good as I went 3-1 for +350. Overall I am 6-2 for +750. For today I am going with these late games:
A's RL +130 $150 to win $175
- Oakland landed a very good pitcher in Jason Hammel. Hammel is 8-5 with a 2.98 ERA on the season. He has pitched well in his last three starts and has a lifetime 3.02 ERA against San Fran in his career. Oakland has been hot all year and are 7-3 over their last ten games and have won six straight. They have a very good 27-18 road record. The Giants are just 3-7 over their last ten games and are just 25-23 at home. Matt Cain just isn't as good as he used to be. He is 0-4 with a 5.58 ERA over the last 30 days. Not so good.
A's vs. Giants over 7 EVEN $100 to win $100
- Both teams can hit and Matt Cain is not very good. I think we see some scoring in this one.
Twins vs. Mariners over 7.5 $165 to win $150
-Both Kyle Gibson and Roenis Elias haven't pitched well over the last 30 days. Elias has a 5.79 ERA and Gibson has 4.85 ERA over that span. Gibson has a very poor 5.54 ERA on the road and 4.82 in night games. Elias has a 5.09 ERA in night games and he gave up four earned runs in his last start against the Twins. Both teams can hit and I think they put it together tonight.
Jonny
A's RL +130 $150 to win $175
- Oakland landed a very good pitcher in Jason Hammel. Hammel is 8-5 with a 2.98 ERA on the season. He has pitched well in his last three starts and has a lifetime 3.02 ERA against San Fran in his career. Oakland has been hot all year and are 7-3 over their last ten games and have won six straight. They have a very good 27-18 road record. The Giants are just 3-7 over their last ten games and are just 25-23 at home. Matt Cain just isn't as good as he used to be. He is 0-4 with a 5.58 ERA over the last 30 days. Not so good.
A's vs. Giants over 7 EVEN $100 to win $100
- Both teams can hit and Matt Cain is not very good. I think we see some scoring in this one.
Twins vs. Mariners over 7.5 $165 to win $150
-Both Kyle Gibson and Roenis Elias haven't pitched well over the last 30 days. Elias has a 5.79 ERA and Gibson has 4.85 ERA over that span. Gibson has a very poor 5.54 ERA on the road and 4.82 in night games. Elias has a 5.09 ERA in night games and he gave up four earned runs in his last start against the Twins. Both teams can hit and I think they put it together tonight.
Jonny
Tuesday, July 8, 2014
July 8, 2014 Sports Picks
Well it was a good start yesterday as I went 3-1 for +$400. With baseball, you are going to have some ups and downs and a lot of unexpected things happen but as long as I do my research I feel good about putting my money where my mouth is. Or something like that....
For tonight, I'm starting with this:
Yankees RL Even $150 to win $150
- Its hard taking a road team that is this much of a favorite but its hard to deny the pitching of Masahiro Tanaka. The man is having a great season in his first year in the MLB going 12-3 with a 2.27 ERA. Cleveland hasn't faced him yet and that gives him an even bigger edge in this one. New York has been playing great ball going 4-1 over their last five games (all on the road). Cleveland has played very well at home this year (25-17) but they are just 5-5 over their last ten games. Trevor Bauer has had his moments this year but is just 2-4 with a 4.42 ERA and the Yankees have a lot of good left-handed bats in their lineup. Bauer has given up at least three earned runs in all of his last six starts.
Ok, so I lost the Yankees game but I have an opportunity to get it back on the late games. Here is what I'm going with.
Blue Jays +1.5 -140 $140 to win $100
- R.A Dickey has pitched well over the last 30 days. The Blue Jays have lost five games in a row and they need a win bad. This just seems like a good night to do it against Tyler Skaggs who has only one start over the last 30 days and has a 5.80 ERA at home this season. This is a tough one as I think it could go either way but I like getting points in this one with good odds.
Twins vs. Mariners under 7.5 -120 $240 to win $200
- Both teams are not hitting that well and both pitchers have been pitching well this year. Phil Hughes hasn't pitched very well over his last two starts but he does have a 2.59 ERA on the road and has a respectable 3.67 career ERA against Seattle. In his last start against the Mariners he went 7 innings and gave up just three hits and no runs. Chris Young has a 2.40 ERA over the past 30 days. He has a 2.19 ERA at home this year.
A's -155 $310 to win $200
Sonny Gray has pitched well all season and has a 3.20 ERA at home and a 2.98 ERA in night games. He is coming off a very strong start against Toronto where he gave up just one run in seven innings. Bumgarner has pitched well but not great of late (4.09 ERA over last 30 days). He has a career 5.68 ERA against Oakland. Oakland has won 5 straight and are playing very well and have a very good 29-15 home record. San Fran is going the opposite direction losing seven of their last three games.
Jonny
For tonight, I'm starting with this:
Yankees RL Even $150 to win $150
- Its hard taking a road team that is this much of a favorite but its hard to deny the pitching of Masahiro Tanaka. The man is having a great season in his first year in the MLB going 12-3 with a 2.27 ERA. Cleveland hasn't faced him yet and that gives him an even bigger edge in this one. New York has been playing great ball going 4-1 over their last five games (all on the road). Cleveland has played very well at home this year (25-17) but they are just 5-5 over their last ten games. Trevor Bauer has had his moments this year but is just 2-4 with a 4.42 ERA and the Yankees have a lot of good left-handed bats in their lineup. Bauer has given up at least three earned runs in all of his last six starts.
Ok, so I lost the Yankees game but I have an opportunity to get it back on the late games. Here is what I'm going with.
Blue Jays +1.5 -140 $140 to win $100
- R.A Dickey has pitched well over the last 30 days. The Blue Jays have lost five games in a row and they need a win bad. This just seems like a good night to do it against Tyler Skaggs who has only one start over the last 30 days and has a 5.80 ERA at home this season. This is a tough one as I think it could go either way but I like getting points in this one with good odds.
Twins vs. Mariners under 7.5 -120 $240 to win $200
- Both teams are not hitting that well and both pitchers have been pitching well this year. Phil Hughes hasn't pitched very well over his last two starts but he does have a 2.59 ERA on the road and has a respectable 3.67 career ERA against Seattle. In his last start against the Mariners he went 7 innings and gave up just three hits and no runs. Chris Young has a 2.40 ERA over the past 30 days. He has a 2.19 ERA at home this year.
A's -155 $310 to win $200
Sonny Gray has pitched well all season and has a 3.20 ERA at home and a 2.98 ERA in night games. He is coming off a very strong start against Toronto where he gave up just one run in seven innings. Bumgarner has pitched well but not great of late (4.09 ERA over last 30 days). He has a career 5.68 ERA against Oakland. Oakland has won 5 straight and are playing very well and have a very good 29-15 home record. San Fran is going the opposite direction losing seven of their last three games.
Jonny
Monday, July 7, 2014
July 7, 2014 Sports Picks
Hey everyone, this is Jonny and I'm back. I'm going to be doing sports picks through the end of the baseball season and obviously for football. For tonight's MLB games I am going with the following:
Cardinals ML -180 $360 to win $200
- Adam Wainwright is on the mound at home so why not make my first bet with one of the MLB's best pitchers. Wainwright is 11-4 with a 1.89 ERA on the season. Over the last 30 days, Wainwright is on fire going 3-1 with a 0.59 ERA. Over his last four starts he has given up just two earned runs. He is also much better in night games (1.43 ERA). The Cardinals are good at home going 24-19. For Pittsburgh, Charlie Morton has had a below average season going 5-9 with a 3.30 ERA. He hasn't been much better over the last 30 days (3-2, 3.27 ERA). Pittsburgh as been hot of late winning three straight and eight of their last ten.
Red Sox RL -115 $115to win $100
- Boston has had a rough season so far but they are still in it at this point despite the 39-49 record. They have played close to .500 at home and each game is important if they want to repeat as champs. Boston has a pitching advantage in this game. Clay Bucholtz looked like he was back in form after his last start pitching 6 1/3 innings while giving up just five hits, one run and no walks. For Chicago, Scott Carroll has been bad all year going 2-5 with a 5.05 ERA. Over the last 30 days he has a 5.60 ERA. Hopefully they get this game in tonight.
Angels RL +115 $100 to win $115
- The Angels are 7-3 over their last ten (and won four straight) and the Blue Jays are 3-7 over the last ten (and lost four straight). Jerad Weaver has been pitching well. Weaver is much better at home (2.75 ERA) and has very good numbers against Toronto in his career (9-2, 3.48 ERA). Happ has struggled on the road (5.14 ERA) and against the Angels in his career (9.45 ERA).
Mariners RL -110 $220 to win $200
- Seattle is playing good ball right now (6-4 over their last 10) and they have a nice pitching advantage with Iwakuma (6-4, 3.33) vs. Correia (4-10, 4.95 ERA). The Twins have been struggling and are just 3-7 over their last ten. Correia has pitched well over the last 30 days (2.40 ERA) but really struggles in night games (6.37 ERA) and this is a late game. His career ERA against Seattle is just 6.65. Oh, and Iwakuma has amazing numbers against the Twins in his career (0.00 ERA in 26.2 innings!).
Jonny
Cardinals ML -180 $360 to win $200
- Adam Wainwright is on the mound at home so why not make my first bet with one of the MLB's best pitchers. Wainwright is 11-4 with a 1.89 ERA on the season. Over the last 30 days, Wainwright is on fire going 3-1 with a 0.59 ERA. Over his last four starts he has given up just two earned runs. He is also much better in night games (1.43 ERA). The Cardinals are good at home going 24-19. For Pittsburgh, Charlie Morton has had a below average season going 5-9 with a 3.30 ERA. He hasn't been much better over the last 30 days (3-2, 3.27 ERA). Pittsburgh as been hot of late winning three straight and eight of their last ten.
Red Sox RL -115 $115to win $100
- Boston has had a rough season so far but they are still in it at this point despite the 39-49 record. They have played close to .500 at home and each game is important if they want to repeat as champs. Boston has a pitching advantage in this game. Clay Bucholtz looked like he was back in form after his last start pitching 6 1/3 innings while giving up just five hits, one run and no walks. For Chicago, Scott Carroll has been bad all year going 2-5 with a 5.05 ERA. Over the last 30 days he has a 5.60 ERA. Hopefully they get this game in tonight.
Angels RL +115 $100 to win $115
- The Angels are 7-3 over their last ten (and won four straight) and the Blue Jays are 3-7 over the last ten (and lost four straight). Jerad Weaver has been pitching well. Weaver is much better at home (2.75 ERA) and has very good numbers against Toronto in his career (9-2, 3.48 ERA). Happ has struggled on the road (5.14 ERA) and against the Angels in his career (9.45 ERA).
Mariners RL -110 $220 to win $200
- Seattle is playing good ball right now (6-4 over their last 10) and they have a nice pitching advantage with Iwakuma (6-4, 3.33) vs. Correia (4-10, 4.95 ERA). The Twins have been struggling and are just 3-7 over their last ten. Correia has pitched well over the last 30 days (2.40 ERA) but really struggles in night games (6.37 ERA) and this is a late game. His career ERA against Seattle is just 6.65. Oh, and Iwakuma has amazing numbers against the Twins in his career (0.00 ERA in 26.2 innings!).
Jonny
Tuesday, April 15, 2014
April 15, 2014 Sports Picks
I started out on the wrong foot yesterday going 0-3 for -328. I hope to get some or all of that back tonight. Here are my picks tonight:
Orioles ML -105 $105 to win $100
- The O's completely dominated the Rays last night winning 7-1. The Rays couldn't get anything going offensively against a pitcher who had been struggling. Tonight the O's have Miguel Gonzalez on the mound. I'm a fan of Gonzalez who went 11-8 with a 3.78 ERA last year. Nothing special but he is a quality pitcher who will keep his club in games. The Rays have Brandon Gomes pitching. Gomes has been a career relief pitcher and is making his first career start. Gomes isn't very good and the O's offense should be able to put up plenty of runs against him.
Pirates ML -108 $150 to win $142
- Anyone who has read my blog knows that I love Gerrit Cole. Why wouldn't you? The guy is a big game pitcher and can bring the heat. He hits the under 90s and has good control. Cole is 2-0 on the season with a 3.46 ERA. He'll be looking to improve on his record when he faces a cold Reds team who is just 4-8 on the season. Pittsburgh will look to stop their three game losing streak with one of the MLB's best pitchers. Keep an eye on Cole this year. I believe he'll be in the running for a Cy Young if he stays healthy.
Nationals RL -1.5 -110 $110 to win $100
- Strasburg used to be my favorite pitcher and now he's just my third favorite (after Cole and Fernandez). Strasburg doesn't have electric stuff like he used to but he is getting stronger with each start. He is coming off a 12 strikeout, 1 ER win against Miami. Tonight he faces Miami again. Good news for Washington.
Red Sox ML -150 $150 to win $100
- Boston has started off in a hole going 5-8 and pulling up the rear in the AL East. The Red Sox are just too good to be sitting in the cellar. Boston is throwing Jake Peavy tonight who will face off against his old team the Chicago White Sox. Peavy has started off the season strong with a 2.13 ERA and he has also pitched well against the White Sox (2.57 ERA) in his one previous start against his old club. Chicago has Erik Johnson pitching, who just isn't very good (9.58 ERA). Johnson is a young pitcher with only seven career starts. I'll take my chances with the Red Sox tonight.
A's ML -101 $150 to win $149
- Oakland is one of the top teams in the MLB this year. They have a very solid lineup and great pitching staff. They are 9-4 on the season and 6-1 on the road. Dan Straily is pitching for the A's tonight and this young pitcher is set for a breakout season. He has a 2.77 ERA so far this season and is coming off a very nice game against the Twins where he went 7 innings giving up just 3 hits and 1 run. The Angels have the talent but with Garrett Richards pitching I would rather take the better team with the better starting pitcher. Richards has been good this year (2-0, 0.75 ERA) but he has a 5.00 career ERA against the A's and has not beat them in four previous starts.
Nets ML -250 $250 to win $100
- Brooklyn needs this win to secure the #5 seed in the playoffs and Carmelo Anthony most likely won't play tonight.
Jonny
Orioles ML -105 $105 to win $100
- The O's completely dominated the Rays last night winning 7-1. The Rays couldn't get anything going offensively against a pitcher who had been struggling. Tonight the O's have Miguel Gonzalez on the mound. I'm a fan of Gonzalez who went 11-8 with a 3.78 ERA last year. Nothing special but he is a quality pitcher who will keep his club in games. The Rays have Brandon Gomes pitching. Gomes has been a career relief pitcher and is making his first career start. Gomes isn't very good and the O's offense should be able to put up plenty of runs against him.
Pirates ML -108 $150 to win $142
- Anyone who has read my blog knows that I love Gerrit Cole. Why wouldn't you? The guy is a big game pitcher and can bring the heat. He hits the under 90s and has good control. Cole is 2-0 on the season with a 3.46 ERA. He'll be looking to improve on his record when he faces a cold Reds team who is just 4-8 on the season. Pittsburgh will look to stop their three game losing streak with one of the MLB's best pitchers. Keep an eye on Cole this year. I believe he'll be in the running for a Cy Young if he stays healthy.
Nationals RL -1.5 -110 $110 to win $100
- Strasburg used to be my favorite pitcher and now he's just my third favorite (after Cole and Fernandez). Strasburg doesn't have electric stuff like he used to but he is getting stronger with each start. He is coming off a 12 strikeout, 1 ER win against Miami. Tonight he faces Miami again. Good news for Washington.
Red Sox ML -150 $150 to win $100
- Boston has started off in a hole going 5-8 and pulling up the rear in the AL East. The Red Sox are just too good to be sitting in the cellar. Boston is throwing Jake Peavy tonight who will face off against his old team the Chicago White Sox. Peavy has started off the season strong with a 2.13 ERA and he has also pitched well against the White Sox (2.57 ERA) in his one previous start against his old club. Chicago has Erik Johnson pitching, who just isn't very good (9.58 ERA). Johnson is a young pitcher with only seven career starts. I'll take my chances with the Red Sox tonight.
A's ML -101 $150 to win $149
- Oakland is one of the top teams in the MLB this year. They have a very solid lineup and great pitching staff. They are 9-4 on the season and 6-1 on the road. Dan Straily is pitching for the A's tonight and this young pitcher is set for a breakout season. He has a 2.77 ERA so far this season and is coming off a very nice game against the Twins where he went 7 innings giving up just 3 hits and 1 run. The Angels have the talent but with Garrett Richards pitching I would rather take the better team with the better starting pitcher. Richards has been good this year (2-0, 0.75 ERA) but he has a 5.00 career ERA against the A's and has not beat them in four previous starts.
Nets ML -250 $250 to win $100
- Brooklyn needs this win to secure the #5 seed in the playoffs and Carmelo Anthony most likely won't play tonight.
Jonny
Monday, April 14, 2014
April 14, 2014 Sports Picks
Hey Everyone! I'm back after taking a little time off. Baseball season is in full swing and there's been enough games so far to start researching and offering up picks. For today, I'm going with just a few to get back in the swing of things.
Rays ML -113 $113 to win $100
- Baltimore has a very solid team again this year and over the past few years they have played very well at home. So far this year they are just 2-4 at home and Tampa is 3-3 on the road. In terms of the pitching matchup, Chris Archer has started the season off with two great starts going 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA. I'm a big fan of Archer and he has the stuff to shut down the O's. Chen has pitched below par in his first two starts and is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA.
Brewers ML -115 $115 to win $100
- Milwaukee has started off the season on fire is a MLB best 10-2. They have won 9 straight and tonight they have Matt Garza on the hill who went 8 innings giving up just 2 hits and 1 run in his only home start this season. St. Louis is a solid team but Lance Lynn is inconsistent and has a 6.55 ERA on the season.
A's RL -1.5 +145 $100 to win $145
- Oakland started this season hot going 8-4. They are also 5-1 on the road. LA is playing decent but are just 6-6 on the season and 2-4 at home. Jesse Chavez for the A's has pitched great in his first two starts posting a 1.38 ERA. The Angel's starter, Hector Santiago, has not pitched well and is 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA. He also has a career 5.40 ERA against the A's.
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Jonny
Rays ML -113 $113 to win $100
- Baltimore has a very solid team again this year and over the past few years they have played very well at home. So far this year they are just 2-4 at home and Tampa is 3-3 on the road. In terms of the pitching matchup, Chris Archer has started the season off with two great starts going 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA. I'm a big fan of Archer and he has the stuff to shut down the O's. Chen has pitched below par in his first two starts and is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA.
Brewers ML -115 $115 to win $100
- Milwaukee has started off the season on fire is a MLB best 10-2. They have won 9 straight and tonight they have Matt Garza on the hill who went 8 innings giving up just 2 hits and 1 run in his only home start this season. St. Louis is a solid team but Lance Lynn is inconsistent and has a 6.55 ERA on the season.
A's RL -1.5 +145 $100 to win $145
- Oakland started this season hot going 8-4. They are also 5-1 on the road. LA is playing decent but are just 6-6 on the season and 2-4 at home. Jesse Chavez for the A's has pitched great in his first two starts posting a 1.38 ERA. The Angel's starter, Hector Santiago, has not pitched well and is 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA. He also has a career 5.40 ERA against the A's.
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Jonny
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