Tuesday, July 8, 2014

July 8, 2014 Sports Picks

Well it was a good start yesterday as I went 3-1 for +$400.  With baseball, you are going to have some ups and downs and a lot of unexpected things happen but as long as I do my research I feel good about putting my money where my mouth is.  Or something like that....

For tonight, I'm starting with this:

Yankees RL Even $150 to win $150
- Its hard taking a road team that is this much of a favorite but its hard to deny the pitching of Masahiro Tanaka.  The man is having a great season in his first year in the MLB going 12-3 with a 2.27 ERA.  Cleveland hasn't faced him yet and that gives him an even bigger edge in this one.  New York has been playing great ball going 4-1 over their last five games (all on the road).  Cleveland has played very well at home this year (25-17) but they are just 5-5 over their last ten games.  Trevor Bauer has had his moments this year but is just 2-4 with a 4.42 ERA and the Yankees have a lot of good left-handed bats in their lineup.  Bauer has given up at least three earned runs in all of his last six starts.

Ok, so I lost the Yankees game but I have an opportunity to get it back on the late games.  Here is what I'm going with.

Blue Jays +1.5 -140 $140 to win $100
- R.A Dickey has pitched well over the last 30 days.  The Blue Jays have lost five games in a row and they need a win bad.  This just seems like a good night to do it against Tyler Skaggs who has only one start over the last 30 days and has a 5.80 ERA at home this season.  This is a tough one as I think it could go either way but I like getting points in this one with good odds.

Twins vs. Mariners under 7.5 -120 $240 to win $200
- Both teams are not hitting that well and both pitchers have been pitching well this year.  Phil Hughes hasn't pitched very well over his last two starts but he does have a 2.59 ERA on the road and has a respectable 3.67 career ERA against Seattle.  In his last start against the Mariners he went 7 innings and gave up just three hits and no runs.  Chris Young has a 2.40 ERA over the past 30 days.  He has a 2.19 ERA at home this year. 

A's -155 $310 to win $200
Sonny Gray has pitched well all season and has a 3.20 ERA at home and a 2.98 ERA in night games.  He is coming off a very strong start against Toronto where he gave up just one run in seven innings.  Bumgarner has pitched well but not great of late (4.09 ERA over last 30 days). He has a career 5.68 ERA against Oakland.  Oakland has won 5 straight and are playing very well and have a very good 29-15 home record.  San Fran is going the opposite direction losing seven of their last three games.

Jonny

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