Saturday, October 4, 2014

Saturday October 4, 2014 Picks

So I took a little time off but now is such a great time for sports.  I love the MLB playoffs, NCAA Football and of course NFL.  For Saturday here are the picks I'm going with:

NCAAF:

FL St -38 $110 to win $100
- Florida State is the best team in the country.  I know they haven't shown it like they did last year but they still have a player named Jameis Winston.  Winston is the best player in the country and he has an amazing supporting cast.  They are playing at home coming off a tough win vs. NC St.  I'm guessing they want to make a statement in front of their home crowd.  FL St wins easily 52-10

Indiana -12.5 $110 to win $100
- Indiana is in the Big Ten and they are much improved over the past few years.  This team has a very good offense.  They are playing a team called North Texas.  North Texas!!  Come on now.  Indiana will take care of business coming off the loss.  42-17

East Carolina -41 $110 to win $100
- This spread is huge!  However, I'm going with the -41.  Why?  Because SMU is not good.  They are one of the worst teams in college football, and maybe ever!  haha.  They lost to North Texas by 37.  North Texas!!!  East Carolina is a very good football team.  They beat Virgina Tech on the road and they completely killed North Carolina by 29 points!  This team can put up points and they aren't going to be nice to SMU

Cincinnati -4 $110 to win $100
- I'm confused on this line.  Memphis is only 2-2 and just lost their best rusher.  I understand they played UCLA tough but UCLA isn't all that good and they played very poorly in that game.  Memphis is ok but they aren't good enough to win on the road against a good team like Cincy.  31-24

 Virginia ML -210 $420 to win $200
-Virginia has played very well at home and their crowd sure supports them.  Pitt just lost to Iowa at home and then Akron at home..  Akron!!  Virgina gave UCLA a run for their money in their first game losing by 8 but since they won their next two home games, including a win vs. Louisville.  VA 35-17

South Carolina ML -170 $340 to win $200
- Really?  South Carolina vs. Kentucky and they are only a slight favorite??  Come on now.  This South Carolina team is good.  Really good!  They are only 3-2 but every game they have played has been against a very good opponent.  They know they need this game.  They will give it everything they have and they are way too talented not to win today. Kentucky is better this year (3-1) but they don't have the talent or the crowd noise to compete with SC in this one..

Stanford vs. ND under 47.5 $220 to win $200
- This seems to be the game of the night.  I love both teams and they both have good offenses.  However, they are both defined more by their defenses.  Stanford has the better defense and is only giving up an average of 6.5 points per game.  Notre Dame is home so they have that going for them.  The Irish shut out Michigan in week 2 and has played really good defense in the other games they have played.  The under is the play.  This will be a closely fought game but I'm not sure who will win.

Baylor vs TX over 58.5 $165 to win $150
- Baylor is averaging almost 60 points!  They have a very high powered offense and TX doesn't have the best defense.  This over/under is a bit confusing and I think we have an easy one here.  Go the over.

Wash St -160 $320 to win $200
- Washington St has a very good QB.  Quarterback is the most important position on the field and a good QB can make up for other deficiencies (see Peyton Manning in Indy).  Wash St has a very good home field advantage and played very well against Oregon a few weeks ago.  Cal is 3-1 on the year but they haven't been winning convincingly.  They don't play good defense at all and Wash St will take full advantage.

TX A&M +125 $200 to win $250
- Big bet on A&M.  Why?  They need this win.  They are trying to stay undefeated so they can go to the playoffs.  This is a team destined to make it into the final four.  They aren't the best team but they have a great coach and a lot of motivation.  This is a team who beat South Carolina by 24 on the road.  Last week they had a major test but took care of Arkansas at home in OT.  They were probably looking ahead to this huge road game against Miss ST who is 4-0 and coming off a huge win vs. LSU on the road.  This is going to be a fun game to watch but I can't help but take the +125 on the #3 ranked team.  A&M 35-31

UCLA vs Utah under 64 $220 to win $200
- Lots of great opportunities this weekend.  UCLA put up a lot of points last week but that was against an AZ St team that just doesn't play defense.  64 is a good number but I just have a feeling this will be a hard fought defensive battle to finish something like the Utah vs. Wash St game of 28-27. 

Jonny G



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