Saturday, November 16, 2013

November 16, 2013 Sports Picks

I had a rough day yesterday.  Today is a new day and I feel good about my picks today.

11am:
Vanderbilt -12 $160 to win $150
- Vanderbilt looked really good last week against FL on the road and they beat GA three weeks ago.  Today they get to play a home game against a really bad Kentucky team.

VT/MD under 43.5 $110 to win $100
- Virginia Tech has a really solid defense and Maryland has a really bad offense.  I'm least confident in this pick and was considering removing.  We'll see what happens.

Kansas St / Vanderbilt / Arizona Parlay $200 to win $147
-  All of these teams are big favorites and I can't see a situation where any of these three teams lose.

2:30pm
Miami -3.5 $110 to win $100
- Miami has owned Duke in the past and they have much more talent.  Duke is good this year so I had to lower my bet.

Northwestern -3 $220 to win $200
- Northwestern hasn't played well lately but today they get to play a Michigan team who looked like the worst team in football last week.  Michigan had so much trouble moving the ball on offense.  I like NW to win at home.

FSU -38 $110 to win $100
- Florida St has been blowing everyone out and today they get another easy opponent in Syracuse.

Auburn -165 $330 to win $200
- This is one of my favorite plays of the day.  Auburn has been play great football.  They can run the ball extremely well and play great defense.  GA has had a rough season.  They recently lost to Vanderbilt and only beat FL by 3.

OK St -3 -105 $210 to win $200
- I really like how Oklahoma St is playing.  This is one of the hottest teams in all of football right now.  They can't be stopped on offense.  Texas has been playing well but only beat a bad West Virginia team by 7 last week.

Kansas St -11 $165 to win $150
- The other super hot team is K St.  They had a very impressive win last week against TX Tech.  TCU has lost to Texas and West Virginia and only beat IA ST by 4 over their last three games.  

6pm:
TX Tech +28 $220 to win $200
- I'm taking TX Tech because they are still a good team and 28 points is a lot of points.  Baylor can score a lot of points and there defense is playing well but they will be without their best receiver Tevin Reese and this will hurt them.  I think Baylor wins by 21. 

ORE ST / AZ ST over 64 $440 to win $400
- This is my favorite play for the day.  AZ St loves to run a lot of plays similar to Oregon and Oregon St has a great passing game.  AZ St is averaging 44 points a game and Oregon St is averaging 37.  Both defenses are giving up around 26 points per game.  I'm surprised that the total is only 64.  I would have set the total at around 72. 

Alabama -24 $110 to win $100
- Alabama is the best team in college football.  They have a great run game, pass game and defense.  They've won most of their games by more than 24 and they just beat a very good LSU team by 21.  Miss St lost to LSU by 33.

USC +3.5 $165 to win $150
- This is a tough game to pick.  I'm taking USC because they have a very good home field advantage and they have been hot lately.  Things are clicking for this USC team. Over there last three games they beat Utah 19-3, Ore St  31-14 and Cal 62-28.  Their confidence is high.  Stanford is coming off a very emotional win against Oregon so they could be a little flat.  But then again they need this win.

Jonny

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