Yesterday I went 10-10 for -208. Today I feel really good about my picks. Here they are:
Lions / Texans Parlay $400 to win $173
- Detroit plays much better at home and they get to play Tampa who is playing well. Tampa has won two in a row but both of these games were at home and against two really bad teams. Detroit is 3-1 at home and Tampa is 0-4 on the road. Houston has been inconsistent and has lost 8 straight. If there was ever a time to break that losing streak its today. They get to play the worst team in the league. They need to get things back on track and I think they make it happen today in front of their home crowd.
Vikings +5 -110 $330 to win $300
- The Packers without Aaron Rodgers are just not very good. They've lost three straight and I think they might just lose their fourth. Scott Tolzien has been serviceable but he makes way too many mistakes and will most likely turn the ball over a few times today. The Vikings can key in on stopping the run and even with some secondary issues they should be able to limit Tolzien's production and I can see a lot of sacks by Allen and Co. The Vikings are a mess this year but they are better than the Packers without Rodgers.
Chiefs -195 $195 to win $100
- Kansas City had a rough loss last week against Denver but this week they can to play an easier opponent at home. They put a lot of pressure on the QB so Rivers could struggle. Plus their home field advantage is second to none. Its going to be cold in KC today and SD struggles in cold weather.
Lions / Panthers Parlay $180 to win $140
- I love Detroit at home today and Carolina is one of the best teams in the NFL. They beat NE last week and this week they get to play a really bad Miami team. Miami has found ways to win at home but their luck will run dry today against a much better team.
Ravens -3.5 $110 to win $100
- Baltimore is home and playing a very inconsistent Jets team who doesn't play well on the road. New York is just 1-4 on the road and Baltimore is 3-1 at home. What am I missing with this line? Shouldn't it be around 6.5? Baltimore wins by at least 7 today.
Cardinals -3 -105 $315 to win $300
- Arizona is very strong at home led by a great defense. They are 4-1 at home and Indianapolis just isn't the same without Reggie Wayne. I love the Cardinals in this game.
Bucs +18.5 / Vikings +15 / Cowboys +13 10 pt teaser $200 to win $154
- I think Tampa can keep this game within two TDs as they have been playing very well. The Vikings could easily win this game and the Cowboys are better than the Giants.
Chargers +14 / Panthers +6 / Patriots +11.5 10 pt teaser $200 to win $154
- Kansas City doesn't blow teams out and San Diego is good. If Miami wins it won't be by more than 3 as I think Carolina should win. New England has the edge at home against Denver with the cold temps and winds.
** Sunday Night Plays**
NE/DEN under 55 $330 to win $300
- Normally this game would be a high scoring back and forth game with a lot of passing touchdowns. However, the weather comes into play in this game. At game time the temps will be 23 degrees with 30 mph winds. That is not a receipt for a high scoring game. I'll take the under and will expect a lot of running.
Pats +7.5 / Under 61 6 pt teaser -120 $240 to win $200
- I hate betting against Peyton Manning as he is the best QB of all time but he has struggled in very cold weather and in high winds. Tom Brady has had much more success in this type of environment, plus he is at home. With a gun to my head I would take New England at +1.5 but I like getting a touchdown plus with this teaser.
Jonny
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