Happy Thanksgiving everyone! I love Thanksgiving. Mainly because there's a few extra NFL games on. I've very thankful for that! Here are my plays today:
Lions / Cowboys Parlay -159 $400 to win $252
- Detroit has struggled a bit lately losing their last game against Tampa. I was a little frustrated that Stafford just threw the ball up and the end of the game down three and in field goal range. Johnson caught the ball but immediately fumbled in the air being caught by a Tampa defender. Green Bay has really struggled while Rodgers have been out. They were completely dominanted at home against a bad Vikings team last week before making a comeback to tie. Eddie Lacy has been a bright spot for Green Bay but Detroit has the #4 ranked rushing defense and they may key on stopping Lacy which will force Flynn to throw. Detroit has a very solid offense with Stafford, Johnson and Bush. They are home on a short week so should be able to win this game. Dallas is home and they are 4-1 at home this year with their only loss being against Denver. Oakland is 1-4 on the road. I'm a big fan of Dallas and think they win this game easily.
Lions -1 / Over 43.5 6 pt tease -120 $240 to win $200
- I love the Lions to win and with the ideal conditions indoors I would predict this to be a high scoring game.
Cowboys / Texas parlay -113 $250 to win $231
- Dallas should win and I'll parlay them with the Texas. The Longhorns have put together a really good season after a slow start. They are 6-1 in conference play. TX Tech has struggled lately losing four straight games. They haven't played defense in those games so Texas should have no trouble moving the ball. Texas plays defense so as long as they can stop a few of TX Tech's possessions they will win this game at home.
Lions +3 / Cowboys +1 / Steelers +13 10 pt teaser -130 $200 to win $154
- Not much else to say on this. I think Detroit and Dallas will win and I think Pittsburgh will keep it close.
Cowboys -9 $110 to win $100
- The more I think about this game the more I think we see a Cowboy blowout. Romo will move the ball all day against the Raiders and Oakland's offense is a total unknown with their QB situation. Take Dallas at home on Thanksgiving against an inferior team.
Steelers +9.5 / Over 34.5 6.5 Teaser -130 $260 to win $200
- I couldn't predict who will win this game. Baltimore has played well at home going 4-1 but Pittsburgh has played very well over their last three games easily beating Buffalo, Detroit and Cleveland. This game is likely to be a very close game. I'm taking the over because Pittsburgh has been putting up points and their defense hasn't played as well as they historically have played. I'm seeing a three point game in the low fourties.
OK St -13.5 (NCAAB) $165 to win $150
- Oklahoma St has been blowing out everyone they have played so far this year. This is a very good team. Purdue is also undefeated but they haven't played anyone good yet. Purdue hasn't looked sharp so far this year so I'm taking the much better team who loves to blow teams out.
KU -14 $110 to win $100
- Kansas has played great basketball so far this year. They are undefeated and they beat Duke by 11. Wake Forest is also undefeated but Kansas is just much better and they need a big win to have a chance at getting ranked #1.
Jonny
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