December 28, 2013 Sports Picks

I had a decent day yesterday.  Here are my plays today:

Rutgers +14.5 $220 to win $200
- Notre Dame finished their season strong but this is a large spread for a game that is likely to be lower scoring.  I think Notre Dame will win but they should win by 7 or 10 points. 

Cincinnati +9.5 / Over 50.5 6 pt teaser $240 to win $200
- The Bearcats ended their regular season on fire before losing by seven against Louisville in their final game.  They have the ability to put up points.  They averaged 33 points per game.  On defense, Cincy was pretty good as well only giving up 19.5 points per game.  North Carolina had a strong season going 6-6 but they lost a lot of games against average teams.  They did average 32 points per game but defensively they gave up an average of 25 points per game.  31-28 Bearcats. 

Miami +5 $220 to win $200
- I love getting points in games like this.  Miami has a lot of talent and they will want to finish their season on a strong note.  They were very inconstant this year losing to teams like Duke and Virginia Tech but they have a very good mix on offense between run and pass and should give Louisville some trouble. Louisville is just a bit over-rated in my view.  I'm not a fan of Teddy Bridgewater and don't think he is a good as people are saying.  The Cardinals schedule was really weak this year and when they did play a good team they lost to UCF.  Their only key wins came against Houston by 7 and Cincinnati by 7.  Miami is the better of these two teams and I'm hoping they correct their defensive inefficiencies and keep this game close. 

Miami/Louisville under 57 $165 to win $150
- Louisville had one of the best defenses in their conference giving up just 12.4 points per game. Miami struggled defensively down the stretch but they had a lot of time to rest and study and I think they hold Louisville to under 28 points.

Mich +11.5 / Under 60.5 6 pt teaser -120 $360 to win $300
- The under in this game is easy.  Michigan has a very solid defense and they will be playing without their starting QB.  I'm taking Michigan with the points because I think their freshman QB is actually slightly better than Gardner and Michigan has practiced with him for a month and sources say he looks really good and is clicking with his receivers.  Kansas St has had a very good season and is rightly favored in this game.  I just think Michigan can keep this game within about 7 points.  Overall talent and coaching favors Michigan.

Kentucky NCAAB +2.5 $110 to win $100

Atlanta Hawks -6 $110 to win $100
- Charlotte just played last night at home so could be a little tired after giving it everything they had against the Thunder.  Atlanta is really good at home where they are 11-4.  They are also 7-3 over their last 10.  The Hawks are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games overall and 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games.  Head to head, Atlanta is 8-1 ATS in their last nine meetings vs. Charlotte. 

Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall and 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games.
Head to head, the Bobcats are 1-8 ATS in the last nine meetings overall

Read more at http://sportschatplace.com/nba-picks/2013/12/28/atlanta-hawks-vs-charlotte-bobcats#WF3OETB5tEqwIl4V.99

Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall and 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games.
Head to head, the Bobcats are 1-8 ATS in the last nine meetings overall

Read more at http://sportschatplace.com/nba-picks/2013/12/28/atlanta-hawks-vs-charlotte-bobcats#WF3OETB5tEqwIl4V.99

Kansas St (NCAAF) / UCLA (NCAAB) Parlay $160 to win $100
- After some more research I really like Kansas St to win this game but I'm hoping for a tight game.  I parlayed with UCLA because UCLA is really good this year and Alabama has struggled lately. 

Jonny