Friday, October 11, 2013

October 12, 2013 Sports Picks

I had an up and down day yesterday going 2-3 for -245.  On Saturday there are a lot of college football games and I would probably bet every single one of them but I know that would not be wise so I'm selecting my favorites and going with it.  I still have a ton of bets and usually do parlays on the ML for teams I think are locks.  Here is what I'm going with:

NCAA 11am - 5pm

VT / MD Parlay $300 to win $254
- Virginia Tech has been playing very well and has won four straight games against quality opponents.  Pittsburgh hasn't beat a quality opponent yet.  Maryland plays Virginia who hasn't played well at all this year.  They lost against Pitt and Ball St. in their last two games.  Maryland beat West Virgina 37-0 before getting smoked by FSU last week.  I think they bounce back this week. 

OKL -5.5 / OKL Over 50.5 7 pt teaser $200 to win $154 
-  Oklahoma has played very well this year and they are coming off two quality wins against Notre Dame and TCU.  Texas started off poorly losing 40-21 against BYU and 44-23 against Ole Miss but they are coming off two wins against K St and IA St.  The bad news for Texas is that Oklahoma is much better than those two teams.

TX AM / Wyoming Parlay $250 to win $164
- I love TX A&M and even though this could be a tough game for them I was not impressed at all with Ole Miss over their last two games.  Johnny Football should be able to help his team win this game.  Wyoming is much better than New Mexico.  They only lost at Nebraska by three and they are 2-0 at home.  New Mexico is better this year but they still have glaring problems on defense.

Stanford / GA Parlay $300 to win $222
- I was very impressed with Stanford last week and they will be motivated to keep their undefeated record in tack.  They've played well on the road so far and Utah has lost two home games against quality opponents (Ore St, UCLA).  Georgia has won some very good games this year.  They beat S. Carolina and LSU.  Missouri has been very good this year but they haven't played a team like Georgia yet.  This should be an entertaining game.

Baylor -18 -110 $220 to win $200
- Baylor's offense is amazing and they put up 70 or more in their last three games.  They had 56 points at half time last week against a pretty good West Virginia team.  Kansas St has been average but this game could go either way.

LSU / Wisc Parlay $350 to win $219
- LSU has looked very strong this year and they are home against FL.  Florida has been good but they are obviously better at home.  LSU wins this one easily.  Both Wisconsin and Northwestern are very good coached teams.  Northwestern gave it everything they had last week at home against OH St but came up short.  That loss will affect them in this game and Wisconsin has been great at home this year.  

BC/Clem over 64 -110 $165 to win $150
- Clemson can put up points and Boston College has actually been putting up points this year as well.  Last week they put up 48 points.

Stanford / Miss St Parlay $400 to win $246 
- I feel very confident in Stanford and Mississippi St should have no trouble winning this game at home against Bowling Green.  BG lost 42-10 in their last road game against Indiana.

ORE/Wash under 76.5 -110 $220 to win $200
- Oregon has put up a lot of points so far this year but this game is in Washington.  The Huskies have a very good defense and will be motivated to win.  Oregon has an underrated defense and since Washington has such a good defense I just don't think that the game will get up to 76 total points.

East Carolina / S. Carolina Parlay $200 to win $164 
- East Carolina beat UNC the road and their only loss was against Virginia Tech.  This week they get to play Tulane who are pretty good in their own right but I just think East Carolina is the better team.  South Carolina has a tough road test at Arkansas but they are much better and should be able to win this game. 

Houston / Marshall Parlay $250 to win $147
- Marshall has looked outstanding this year and Houston is much better than Memphis and they are home.

No. Ill -23.5 -110 $220 to win $200
- Northern Illinois has been great this year and Lynch will move the ball right down the field on every drive.  42-10. 

NCAA 6pm or later:

BYU / BYU Under 60.5 7 pt teaser $300 to win $231
-  BYU is coming off a very convincing win against UT St on the road and I think they match up well against GA Tech.  GA Tech has lost two straight. 

Alabama -27 -110 $220 to win $200 
- Alabama needs a big win and Kentucky is not very good.   Kentucky has played in some close games but Alabama is just too good and will most likely shut out Kentucky on Saturday.  35-0.  

ORE St +1 -110 $110 to win $100
- Oregon St is 4-1 and their offense has been clicking all year.  Washington St is much better this year and this game is a toss up.  I'm going with the team I believe to be much better.

OR St over 63 -110 $220 to win $200
- Both teams can put up points and defense is at a minimum. 

UCLA -25.5 -110 $110 to win $100
- I really like the Bruins this year and Cal has been getting beat down.  I think UCLA wins by at least 28 but I can' go too crazy in this spot. 

MLB

Dodgers vs. Cardinals under 6 -110 $220 to win $200
- Kershaw against Wacha.  Kershaw has a slight edge as he is the NL Cy Young and has a 1.77 ERA on the season.  That is amazing.  I'm a little worried about him wearing down a little but he has proven me wrong every time.  He hasn't had as much success against the Cardinals this year (4.15 ERA) so I can't bet with the Dodgers today.  Wacha has been outstanding and is coming off a one hitter in his last start.  I'm a little nervous going with the under when its only 6 but Kershaw could go the distance and Wacha could shut out the Dodgers until he comes out after 7 and St. Louis' bullpen is lights out.

Red Sox -138 $400 to win $290
- Boston is hot right now and they have the pitching advantage in game one.  Lester has been great at home this year (7-1 3.09 ERA) and Sanchez struggled in his first postseason game. 

Jonny

No comments:

Post a Comment