Saturday, October 26, 2013

October 27, 2013 Sports Picks

Yesterday I went 9-4 for +670.  It feels good to have a very good day and I hope to keep it going on Sunday.  Here are my picks today:

49ers -15.5 -110 $220 to win $200
- San Fran is on fire right now mainly with their running game and their defense.  Jacksonville can't stop anyone and their offense is inconsistent.  

SF -9.5 / Dal +9 6 pt teaser -120 $240 to win $200
- Dallas almost beat Denver and they are playing very well.  Detroit just lost at home against the Bengals.

Dal/Det over 51.5 -110 $330 to win $300
- Dallas can move the ball like nobody's business.  I saw that game against Denver and I see this game as being similar.  Both teams don't run the ball all that good so we'll see a lot of passes which means bigger plays or in completions which will stop the clock.

KC / Saints Parlay $470 to win $202
- Both the Chiefs and the Saints are two of the best teams in the NFL.  They are both playing at home against inferior teams.  I would be very surprised if either team lost on Sunday.

Bengals -240 $240 to win $100
- Cincy is coming off a huge road win against Detroit and come home to play the Jets.  The Jets are coming off an emotional win and they might be a little flat on Sunday.  I'll take the better team at home.

KC/Denver Parlay $600 to win $258
- Kansas City is so good and Cleveland is having a problem finding a QB.  I am actually surprised the line isn't more like -13.5 in this game.  The Chiefs win for sure.  The Broncos are coming off a loss so they will be extra motivated to win this game.  They are home and playing a Washington team who has struggled early and is coming off a very emotional win at home.  I really don't see this game being close.

NE/Denver Parlay $150 to win $83
- New England hasn't played great this year but they have Gronk back and the running game is playing much better.  They have owned Miami especially in New England and the Dolphins haven't played as well lately after their good start.  They are coming off three losses in a row.  NE is 3-0 at home this year. 

NYG +15.5 / Steelers +7 / Falcons +13 10 pt teaser $260 to win $200
- The Giants are playing so much better over there last two games and aren't making as many mistakes.  The Eagles are fun to watch but they don't play defense and their offense makes mistakes.  Pittsburgh started off slow but they have played better and they are coming off two big wins.  Atlanta lost some key offensive weapons but I think they are still much better than the Cardinals and should at least keep this game close.

Dallas Over 41 / NYG over 41 / Falcons under 56.5 10 pt teaser $130 to win $100
- I covered Dallas above.  Philly runs a lot of plays and can put up a lot of points but there defense is not very good and have struggled so far this year.  Arizona has a good defense and Atlanta is missing some key offensive weapons.  

Den / GB / Sea Parlay $200 to win $114
- Just a late game parlay.  I think Denver and Seattle are the best teams in the AFC and NFC and I expect both to win each week.  Seattle plays the Rams who are starting a 2nd string QB.  Denver is home where I don't think they will lose all year.  Green Bay is playing a Vikings team who is coming off two of the worst losses I have ever seen.  They don't have a stable QB which has hurt their chances and being competitive.

Against the Spread here are my picks (for no money - units showing my confidence):
SF -15.5 2 units
Cowboys +3 2 units
NYG +5.5 2 units
KC -7 4 units
Saints -12 1 unit
Dolphis +6.5 1 unit
NYJ +5.5 1 unit
Pittsburgh -3 EVEN 2 units
Denver -12 2 units
Atlanta +3 2 units
GB -10 2 units
Seahawks -12.5 3 units

** Added these later:

Green Bay -2.5 / Over 41 6.5 Teaser $200 to win $154
- The Vikings are a mess right now and Green Bay has been hot.  I still think a lot of points are scored in this one.

Red Sox -105 $210 to win $200
- I know I was going to bet the home team in each game but I just couldn't do it in this game.  Buchholz is much better than Lynn and the Red Sox need to win this game.  They let game 2 get away and last night they had a good comeback but couldn't finish.  Tonight they win to even up the series.  

Jonny

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